Sports Forecast for Monday, April 6, 2015

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on: In today’s segment, I covered:

  • British Premier League Soccer – Manchester City at Crystal Palace, 3 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network.
  • NHL Hockey – Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks, 10:30 p.m. ET on regional cable.
  • NBA Basketball – Portland Trail Blazers at Brooklyn Nets, 7 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
  • NCAA Men’s Basketball – Wisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils, 9:18 p.m. ET on CBS.
  • And more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link. Music by Jesse Fischer.

March Madness Final Four Previews, April 4, 2015

I know, I know, it’s not even March anymore. How can it still be March Madness? Truth be told, aside from the very first day of this year’s NCAA men’s basketball tournament, it hasn’t been very mad at all. There have been relatively few major upsets and this is reflected in today’s two games between the last four teams remaining. Of the four teams remaining, three are 1 seeds, which means the committee that selected teams for the tournament and ranked them before the tournament began accurately predicted three of the four best teams. The only surprise, 7 seed Michigan State, is only kind of a surprise. Although they weren’t predicted to do this well this year, their coach and program has an incredibly strong recent history of success. For some reason beyond my comprehension, these games — as exciting and high profile as they are

NCAA Men’s Basketball – #7 Michigan State Spartans vs. #1 Duke Blue Devils, 6:09 p.m. ET on TBS.

This game is definitely the undercard or less anticipated game of the two. This is mostly because it doesn’t feature Kentucky, the team that virtually every narrative in this tournament is focused on. Putting narratives aside for a minute though, this is a very attractive basketball game. Duke has the most polished offensive big man in the game this year, a player named Jahlil Okafor who is likely to be the first overall draft pick in the NBA this coming year. Watch for him — he’s the enormous dude who wears number 15 – when he gets the ball near the basket. He’s surprisingly graceful for someone who is 6’10” and 270 lbs at age 19. One of the most effective motivations for a sports team to over-achieve seems to be the sense that the world did or does not believe they can succeed. Michigan State has gleefully taken up that mantle and, because they were given a relatively poor 7 seed for this tournament, it fits to a degree. Michigan’s coach, Tom Izzo, is well-known for being able to whip together some tactics that will work to counter-act whatever the opposing team does best. If Michigan State has a chance in this game, it’s because coach Izzo will be able to outsmart Duke’s coach. The problem with that is that Duke’s coach, Mike Krzyzewski, is the most well-respected coach in college basketball. Duke has the clear edge in this game but not by enough to make it worth skipping.

NCAA Men’s Basketball – #1 Wisconsin Badgers vs. #1 Kentucky Wildcats, 8:49 p.m. ET on TBS.

All roads lead to Kentucky in this tournament. They are two wins (this game and the finals on Monday) away from completing the first undefeated season for a men’s college basketball team since 1976. (The University of Connecticut women’s basketball team has had four undefeated seasons since then including a streak of 90 straight games which included two complete undefeated seasons and championships in 2008/9 and 2009/10.) The primary fascination for this tournament revolves around whether or not Kentucky will be able to complete the undefeated season and win the championship. To do that, they’ll need to beat a Wisconsin team that’s had it out for them since Kentucky eliminated them from March Madness last year. That’s right — these two teams played last year in the Final Four as well. In that game, Kentucky beat Wisconsin 74-73 on a last second three-point shot. By most accounts, these two teams are both better this year than they were last year, so this should be a heck of a game. I’m looking forward to it!

What happened on Thursday, April 2, 2015?

  1. Harder to win without LeBron James: The Miami Heat have been either the NBA Champion or the runner-up in each of the last four years. That was when they had LeBron James on their team. This season, LeBron James has been playing for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and they look like they’re going to make the finals. The Heat, meanwhile are struggling to just make the playoffs. Last night’s loss against James’ new team, the Cavaliers, drops the Heat to a tie with Boston for the last playoff spot.
    Line: Hard to believe that James might not win the Most Valuable Player award given the stark contrast between the Heat last season with him and this season without him. And the same for the Cavaliers.
  2. With no reason to win, the Warriors still do: The Golden State Warriors have already clinched the top seed in the NBA Western Conference playoffs, so there’s no real reason for them to care about the rest of their regular season games. Still, they found a way to win last night’s game against the Phoenix Suns by a single point, 107-106. That must have totally infuriated the Suns whose playoff hopes are still alive, but only just barely.
    Line: Damn, the Warriors are good.
  3. Crisis in Detroit: Detroit is known as “Hockeytown” and their team has made the playoffs in each of the past 23 years. They’ll probably keep that streak alive this year, but it’s going to be agonizingly close. Over the past fifteen games, they’ve only won four. That’s not good, especially not when one of those losses comes against a team with the same record in the same division, like it did in last night’s 3-2 loss to the Boston Bruins. The Bruins are now tied with the Red Wings in the standings.
    Line: Detroit missing out on the playoffs is unimaginable but it could happen if they don’t start playing better soon.

Sports Forecast for Friday, April 3, 2015

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on: In today’s segment, I covered:

  • MLS Soccer – D.C. United at Orlando City SC, 7 p.m. ET on UniMas.
  • NBA Basketball – Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers, 7 p.m. ET on regional cable.
  • And more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link. Music by Jesse Fischer.

Sports Forecast for Thursday, April 2, 2015

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on: In today’s segment, I covered:

  • NBA Basketball – Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers, 8 p.m. ET on TNT.
  • NBA Basketball – Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors, 10:30 p.m. ET on TNT.
  • NHL Hockey – Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings, 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network.
  • And more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link. Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on April 1, 2015?

  1. Playoff hopefuls winnowing: It’s starting to look like, of the four teams fighting for the last playoff spot in the NBA’s Eastern conference, two of them are emerging and two are falling behind. Last night, the two that are emerging, the Brooklyn Nets and Boston Celtics, each won the games they were playing, of the two that are falling just a little behind, the Indiana Pacers lost and the Charlotte Hornets won. In a new development, the Miami Heat, who had been ahead of the fray, a few games ahead in seventh place, have dropped far enough back that they’re now tied with Brooklyn for eighth place. Add them to the mix and there are five teams fighting for two playoff spots now.
    Line: With the Heat swooning, now there are two spots open for five teams to fight over.
  2. California hockey hopes: The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-1 last night, so California hockey fans can still hope to get all three of their teams into the playoffs. If the Sharks and Los Angeles Kings do make it, it would come at the expense of Canadian hockey fans whose Calgary Flames and Winnipeg Jets would really have to fall apart.
    Line: Choosing who to pull for between California and Canada for the casual fan is usually pretty easy.
  3. Pennsylvania hockey hatred: I don’t think there’s a more petulant rivalry out there today than the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers are by all accounts the worse team this year but that didn’t stop them from doing their normal act against the Penguins and beating the snot out of them on and off the scoreboard. The game ended with the Flyers up, 4-1.
    Line: The Penguins are soft.

Sports Forecast for Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on: In today’s segment, I covered:

  • NBA Basketball – Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics, 7:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
  • NHL Hockey – Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins, 8 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network.
  • NHL Hockey – Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks, 10:30 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network.
  • And more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link. Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on Tuesday, March 31, 2015?

  1. A moral tie: There’s a controversial concept in sports of a “moral victory” when a team loses but, because of something circumstantial — the way they played, the fact that they were expected to lose by a lot and only lost by a little, etc. — it’s seen as a good thing anyway. Yesterday’s game between the United States Men’s National soccer team and Switzerland ended in a 1-1 tie and, in my mind, felt like neither a moral victory, nor a moral defeat. It was a tie and it felt like a tie. The U.S. team went up 1-0 in the first half but then couldn’t defend the lead after striker Jozy Altidore foolishly got kicked out of the game for cursing at the ref.
    Line: We’ve passed the point where I’m excited about the U.S. team earning a draw.
  2. In the land of the blind…: There’s a race going on for the last playoff spot in the Eastern conference of the NBA. It’s not a race that includes any great basketball teams. The Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets, Boston Celtics, and Indiana Pacers have all lost far more games than they’ve won this season. But, since it is a race, it is exciting to follow. Last night the Nets beat the Pacers 111-106 to stay just ahead of the other three teams.
    Line: The Nets look like a new team in the past couple weeks. They’ve won six of their last seven games!
  3. Not quiet dead yet: The race for the last playoff spot in the Eastern conference of the NHL didn’t mathematically end last night, but it almost did. The Boston Bruins came from down 2-1 and scored two straight goals in the third period to beat the Florida Panthers 3-2. This widened their lead over the Panthers in the standings to six points with only five games left in the season. It’s not impossible for Florida to catch Boston, but it would take a remarkable effort on their part and a laughable one on the Bruins part.
    Line: It’s not really surprising that Boston would be in line to make the playoffs. It would be more surprising if they missed them.

Sports Forecast for Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on: In today’s segment, I covered:

  • International Men’s Soccer – United States at Switzerland, 12 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1.
  • NBA Basketball – Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30 p.m. ET on regional cable.
  • NHL Hockey – Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins, 7 p.m. ET on regional cable.
  • And more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link. Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on Monday, March 30, 2015?

  • Celtics win a big one: Every game from now on is big for the four teams squabbling over the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference of the NBA. Two of those teams, the Boston Celtics and Charlotte Hornets played last night and the Celtics won 116-104. With about eight games left, the Celtics, Hornets, Brooklyn Nets, and Indiana Pacers are all within 1.5 games of each other in the standings. This should make for an exciting end to the season.
    Line: Big win by the Celtics last night. Big win!
  • You don’t always win when you need (to): The Los Angeles Kings are in a similar position. They’re in ninth place in the NHL’s Western Conference and they are chasing two teams who are reasonably close in seventh and eight place. Losing 4-1 last night to the Chicago Blackhawks is not going to help their case.
    Line: Big loss for the Kings last night. Big loss!
  • Chalk reigns supreme: The women’s NCAA basketball tournament is running about a day behind the men’s tournament. Yesterday, the second two of four Elite Eight games were played, and pretty much like the men’s tournament, chalk (or the favorites) prevailed. The overwhelming favorite in the tournament, Connecticut, beat Dayton 91-70, and 1 seed Maryland beat 2 seed Tennessee 58-48 in a game that was closer than it seems from the score. With one minute to go, Maryland was only winning by three points.
    Line: Four number one seeds made it to the women’s Final Four. In some years, people would complain about that being indicative of a lack of depth in the women’s game. This year, with three number one seeds making it in the men’s tournament, I bet you’ll hear less of that.