2015 NFL Championship Weekend Good Gop, Bad Cop Precaps

It’s the NFL Championship round weekend. There’s a counter-intuitive waxing and waning in the football world around this time. This weekend’s games are the second most important games of the year. Win this one and you go to the Super Bowl. They are among the most exciting games of the year. But at the same time, there’s only two of them. After weekends of 11-16 games all fall and then two weekends in a row of four games each in the earlier playoff rounds, two games seems like just a little bit of football. In this way interest wanes as it waxes.

This year, my friend Brendan and I recorded 10-15 minute preview podcasts of each of the games. I’ve linked to those in the game titles below. But, lucky for you, it’s not just Brendan and me blathering on about the NFL. Fresh of a season of previewing all the NFL games, our favorite police duo bring their good cop, bad cop act into the playoffs and preview all the matchups in the National Football League this weekend.

Championship Weekend

Sunday, January 18, at 3:05 p.m. ET, on Fox

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks

Good cop: The best quarterback in the league, Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers, against the best defense in the league, the Seattle Seahawks?!! Sign me up for that! Seattle had the record for loudest stadium in the world stolen from them earlier this season by the Kansas City fans! My guess is that they take it back on Sunday! They make so much noise that they need to be monitored for seismic consequences! Yikes!!

Bad cop: The story of this game is either going to be ‘quarterback on one leg plays hero and wins against all odds’ or ‘smothering defense key to back-to-back championship run.’ Either one is too cliched and mundane for words. Show me something new, please.

Sunday, January 18, at 6:40 p.m. ET, on CBS

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots

Good cop: Tom Brady, Tom Brady, Tom Brady! Andrew Luck, Andrew Luck, Andrew Luck! This game is a massive battle between two quarterbacks at the top of their games!! It’s old school vs. new school! Both teams have earned their spot in this championship game! The Patriots came back from being down by 14 points twice against their playoff arch-nemesis, the Baltiomre Ravens! The Colts went into Denver and took down the big, bad, Super Bowl or bust Denver Broncos!

Bad cop: Indianapolis beat Cincinnati without their best player, A.J. Green, and then Denver without their best player, Peyton Manning, being healthy enough to play at even close to his normal level. New England needed to pull out all their trickiest trick plays to beat the Ravens, a team with one of the worst pass defenses around. This game features two average teams masquerading as great teams. Bah.

2015 AFC Championship Preview Indianapolis at New England

Hi everyone,

It’s a very exciting time in the football season for football fans and non-fans alike. There are only three games left! That’s right. This Sunday, the four teams left in the playoffs will play in two semifinal games which are confusingly called the NFC and AFC Championship games, and the winners will go on to play in the Super Bowl on February 1st. To preview this weekend’s action, I asked my friend Brendan to come back on the podcast.

The AFC Championship Game

NFL Football — Sunday, January 18, 2015 — Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots, 6:40 p.m. ET on CBS.

  • The one thing television commentators are most likely to say about this game.
  • The one thing we would say if we were television commentators.
  • The player on each team most likely to be the star if their team wins the game and why. For New England, our choices were Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski (but also Legarrette Blount and Darrell Revis because we had trouble choosing.) For Indianapolis, our choices were T.Y Hilton and Vontae Davis.
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

 

 

2015 NFC Championship Preview Green Bay at Seattle

Hi everyone,

It’s a very exciting time in the football season for football fans and non-fans alike. There are only three games left! That’s right. This Sunday, the four teams left in the playoffs will play in two semifinal games which are confusingly called the NFC and AFC Championship games, and the winners will go on to play in the Super Bowl on February 1st. To preview this weekend’s action, I asked my friend Brendan to come back on the podcast.

The NFC Championship Game

NFL Football — Sunday, January 18, 2015 — Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks, 3:05 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • The one thing television commentators are most likely to say about this game.
  • The one thing we would say if we were television commentators.
  • The player on each team most likely to be the star if their team wins the game and why. For Seattle, our choices were Marshawn Lynch and Luke Willson. For Green Bay, our choices were Aaron Rodgers and Eddy Lacy.
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

 

 

2015: College Football Championship plot and characters

In 2015 Dear Sports Fan will be previewing the biggest sporting event of the year in each of the 50 states in the United States plus the district of Columbia. Follow along with us on our interactive 2015 map.

Texas — The College Football Playoff Championship Game

College Football — January 12, 2015 — Oregon Ducks vs. Ohio State Buckeyes, 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

For the first time ever, college football is using a playoff system to determine the best team in the country. In the past, the national championship was decided by vote (until 1998) or by the result of a single game with its two competitors decided by a mixture of computer and human ranking systems. This year, there was a selection committee made up of thirteen people including some former college coaches, players, athletic directors, as well as a journalist and Condoleezza Rice. These thirteen people chose four teams to play in two semi-final games on New Year’s Day. The winners of those games, Oregon and Ohio State, get to play tonight in the College Football Playoff Championship game. The national championship game is always a big deal but this year it seems even bigger. Having a playoff may or may not be a more fair way of deciding the best team in the country but it absolutely makes it a more compelling sporting event. One of the main problems with the way college football was done in the past was that by the time the national championship game came around, the two teams playing hadn’t played competitively for over a month. That was bad for them and bad for viewers. This way, the teams just played the week before last. They should be at the top of their game and they’re fresh in spectators’ minds.

What’s the plot?

This is Coke vs. Pepsi. Ohio State and Oregon are both big time college football programs. Ohio State has a longer history than Oregon, so they will be playing the role of Coke. Oregon sometimes gets cast as the happy-go-lucky, quirky Pacific Northwest team but actually, they’re the prototypical nouveau riche of college football. The Oregon football program is basically a branch of Nike. Nike co-founder Phil Knight is an alumnus of Oregon, where he ran on the track & field team. As a proud alum but also in what has probably been a smart business decision, he’s donated a lot of money to Oregon athletics. Wikipedia cites figures well above $100 million! The Oregon Ducks football team is famous for their fast-paced style of play and their many, many uniforms. It seems like every game, the team comes out with a brand new style of uniform and all of them make the team seem like the fastest one out there. Or wait, maybe that’s just because they are great athletes. Oregon is Pepsi — a little less traditional, a little quirky, but materially the same as Coke.

Part of the plot, or at least the fun, of this game is how it’s going to be produced on ESPN. ESPN is rallying all of its channels to provide different choices of how to consume the game. If you just feel like watching the football game, you can see it on ESPN in English or ESPN Deportes in Spanish. If you want to watch the game but get different commentary, you have three main options: ESPN2 will be doing a “Film Room” take on the game with a bunch of coaches breaking down the tactics, ESPNU will have a group of random ESPN personalities blabbing about the game as they watch it together, and ESPN News will be showing the game with a group of ESPN analysts talking. On ESPN3, the online streaming service, you can get the game synched up with either the Ohio State radio announcers or the Oregon radio announcers, or you can watch the whole thing from that cool “Spider Cam” that roams over the field, suspended by wires. My favorite option is the “Sounds of the Game” option on ESPN Classic that shows the game without any commentators at all! How cool will it be to just hear sounds from the stadium itself?

Regardless of which team wins this game, it will be a fairy tale ending for the winning team’s quarterback. If Oregon wins, their quarterback Marcus Mariota will be like the cowboy wearing the white hat, riding off into the sunset after vanquishing all his enemies. If Ohio State wins, their quarterback, Cardale Jones, will be a true Cinderella story. The third quarterback on his own team, winning this game would indelibly leave a mark on college football history. Let’s find out more about the characters.

Who are the characters?

Cardale Jones — Quarterback is by far the most important single position in football. Great quarterbacks are extremely rare and even functional ones are difficult to find. Teams that lose their starting quarterback to a long term injury very rarely have an acceptable backup who can maintain the level of play at a high enough level for the team to succeed. Teams that lose their first and second string quarterback are almost always dead in the water. We’re seeing that now in the NFL with the Arizona Cardinals whose play has declined dramatically as they descended from Carson Palmer to Drew Stanton to Ryan Lindley. Ohio State has been through the exact same series of injuries this year but each time they lose a quarterback, a new one steps in and the team doesn’t miss a beat. Cardale Jones is the third quarterback up for Ohio State and in his first game as a starter, he led the Ohio State team to a 59-0 win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. He followed that up with an unbelievable performance in the team’s semi-final win over Alabama. Jones has an almost stereotypically hard-luck back-story and I certainly hope that he beats the odds to play well in this game.

Marcus Mariota — As long as Mariota can get through this game without shredding his knees, he will be the first pick of next year’s NFL draft. He’s the prototypical modern quarterback. He’s tall (6’4″), fast (sub 4.5 seconds for the 40 yard dash, which is faster than you can imagine), and a good decision maker. If we were better than terrible at identifying good NFL quarterbacks, Mariota would be a sure thing. He’s also a senior, playing his third year for the Oregon Ducks (he sat out his freshman year.) When he won the Heisman trophy this year, he became the first Hawaiian born player to ever get that honor given to the best college football player each year. If he can win this game, he’ll leave college on top of his sport.

Mark Helfrich — Who? Right, that’s the point. Even sports fans don’t know who Mark Helfrich is. He’s the head coach of the Oregon Ducks. Reading this excellent article about him by Michael Weinreb in Grantland makes me feel like maybe there are some college football coaches out there who care about more than just winning and getting paid. Here’s a few tidbits about Helfrich. He grew up in Oregon and loved the Ducks as a kid, even when they were terrible. He played college quarterback for Southern Oregon and later as a pro in Austria during the NFL’s flirtation with developing a minor league in Europe. Instead of screaming and yelling, like many coaches do during the game, he is “thorough and utterly prepared and calm on the sideline, an intellectual at heart who happens to be a football coach.”

Who’s going to win?

Oregon is favored by six points. That may seem like a lot but the over/under (you can bet on whether the combined total of both teams’ scoring is over or under a number set by Vegas) is 74, so six points is only eight percent of the expected scoring. The odds suggest a close, high-scoring game, but I always think that college kids (and they are really kids, after all) tend to get a little more nervous than we expect in the biggest games. My guess is that it takes a little while for the offenses to settle down. That might be enough to give Ohio State a chance to keep up with Oregon and squeak by them for victory in a relatively low scoring game.

2015 NFL Divisional One Liners

On Mondays during in the fall, the conversation is so dominated by NFL football that the expression “Monday morning quarterback” has entered the vernacular. The phrase is defined by Google as “a person who passes judgment on and criticizes something after the event.” With the popularity of fantasy football, we now have Monday morning quarterbacks talking about football from two different perspectives. We want you to be able to participate in this great tradition, so all fall we’ll be running NFL One Liners on Monday. Use these tiny synopses throughout the day:

Divisional Weekend

Saturday, January 10, at 4:35 p.m. ET, on NBC

Baltimore Ravens 31, at New England Patriots 35

This was the best played game of the weekend. Like predicted pretty much everywhere, the Ravens were completely unintimidated by playing against New England in New England, and started out the game with two quick touchdowns. New England responded nicely though, and for most of the game, the teams went back and forth scoring touchdowns against each other. In the second half, the Patriots broke out a few tricky strategies that worked well against the physical Ravens defense. On one play, quarterback Tom Brady threw the ball backwards to wide receiver Julian Edelman, who, because it had been a backwards pass, was allowed to pass the ball all the way down the field to fellow wide receiver Danny Amendola for a touchdown. The other tricky thing the Patriots did a few times was use four offensive lineman, one fewer than normal, which seemed to totally befuddle the Ravens. In the end, the Patriots scored just a little more than the Ravens and won the game 35-31.
Line: Those tricky Patriots flat out outsmarted the Ravens.

Saturday, January 10, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Fox

Carolina Panthers 17 at Seattle Seahawks 31

I fell asleep on the couch at halftime of this game and probably so did you. We didn’t miss much as the second half went exactly how everyone expected it to go. Seattle, playing at home and close to full strength, was simply a superior football team. This is no surprise. The Panthers only won seven games out of 16 this season and made it to the playoffs only because of a wrinkle in NFL rules. Seattle easily put them in their place… on the couch with us, snoozing away.
Line: I fell asleep. No great loss.

Sunday, January 11, at 1:05 p.m. ET on Fox

Dallas Cowboys 21, at Green Bay Packers 26

The most highly anticipated game of the weekend did not disappoint in the drama department. One of the stories all week leading up to the game was Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers and his partially torn calf muscle. Sure enough, he looked pretty gimpy out there. He normally is a graceful and powerful player when he runs with the ball but in this game, he was limping around. You could tell he had to rely on arm-strength to throw the ball because he couldn’t step into his throws the way he’s used to. Luckily, he’s got more arm strength than a 10 normal people (or 15 bloggers) and he was able to compensate. The biggest moment of the game was a controversial call in the fourth quarter that pretty much ended the game for the Cowboys. The Cowboys had the ball but it was fourth down (last chance!) and they had to move the ball two yards to get another set of downs. Instead of trying to get two yards, quarterback Tony Romo threw the ball way down the field, where wide receiver Dez Bryant leapt high, high in the air, snagged the ball, and reached for the end zone as he fell. It was an incredible play, and the refs on the field called it a complete pass but not a touchdown. After reviewing the tape, the refs reversed themselves and declared the Bryant had actually been unable to hold onto the ball all the way to the ground. The pass didn’t count, Green Bay got the ball, and Dallas never had another chance. This was a true reversal in fortunes from last week when many people thought that Dallas had unfairly been aided by a bad call against their opponents in that game, the Detroit Lions.
Line: Live by the refs, die by the refs.

Sunday, January 11, at 4:40 p.m. ET on CBS

Indianapolis Colts 24, at Denver Broncos 13

This was the only real let-down of the weekend. We billed this game in our preview as the “Peyton Manning bowl.” Manning, the legendary quarterback of the Denver Broncos, was the centerpiece of most people’s interest in the game but once the game actually started, we pretty quickly saw that he was playing terribly. At one point in the second half, the had only completed something like 9 of the 23 or 24 passes he had attempted. That’s not a good average and for him, it’s an unusual disaster. The game went Indianapolis’ way and you never felt like Denver could catch up. It’s a disappointment for Denver Broncos fans and it may be Peyton Manning’s last game. He’s said he was planning on playing next year but he isn’t sure.
Line: If this was Peyton Manning’s last game, it wasn’t a very good way to go out.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Indianapolis at Denver

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 11, 2015 — Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos, 4:40 p.m. ET on CBS.

  • Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning — why this game is all about him and what’s so interesting about him.
  • Denver Broncos wide receiver Wes Welker — how he epitomizes the concussion crisis in the NFL and why we all feel so comfortable telling him what to do.
  • Indianapolis Colts running back Daniel “boom” Herron — why he might actually be the key to this game.
  •  A plot synopsis of the game — Peyton Manning dominates the plot. It’s him against his old team. It’s him potentially playing in cold weather. It’s him playing for potentially his last chance at a Super Bowl. It’s him and the Broncos trying to recover from last year’s playoff loss. But, funny enough, in terms of the outcome of the game, the Broncos defense vs. the Colts offense might be more important.
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Dallas at Green Bay

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 11, 2015 — Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers, 1:05 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers — he’s the best quarterback in the league, but he’s injured. How good can he still be?
  • Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jordy Nelson — why does he seem to be open deep, all the time? Could assumptions of race play into it?
  • Green Bay Packers linebacker Clay Matthews — and why you’ll want to “reach out and touch his hair.”
  • Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo — has his sports narrative conclusively changed after last week’s game? Is there actually a clutch gene? What about an “oops” gene?
  • Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Cole Beasley — talking about open, why does it seem like he’s open on every play?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — This is the biggest game of the weekend from a spectacle standpoint. It’s America’s Team (the Cowboys) vs. the only collectively owned major sports franchise in the country (Green Bay.) As for the actual game, Green Bay should probably win, but if Tony Romo and the Cowboys can win, the’ll remove the playoff monkey from their backs forever. Aaron Rodgers’ injured calf is the other big plot point of the game. How bad is his leg? What will the weather be like?
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Carolina at Seattle

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 10, 2015 — Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman — why he might be the most dangerous defensive back in the league.
  • Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch — is he unhappy or do the Seahawks just not want to pay him next year? And what’s up with the Skittles?
  • Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson — on his knack of not making mistakes and not getting hit.
  • Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton — how injured is he?
  • Carolina Panthers fullback Mike Tolbert — an unsung hero.
  • Carolina Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart — after many years of being criticized for underperforming or being injured, he’s played wonderfully for the past few weeks. Can he keep it up this week?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — this really should be the end for the Carolina Panthers. Seattle is the defending champions and they look great. To add injury to insult, Carolina’s best defensive lineman broke his foot in practice this week. Seattle’s home field advantage is the best in the league.
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Baltimore at New England

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 10, 2015 — Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots, 4:35 p.m. ET on NBC.

  • New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady — why is Brady the antithesis of everything the New England Patriots stand for.
  • New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski — a dude in all senses of the word.
  • New England Patriots cornerback Darrelle Revis — and how he may have his hands full this weekend.
  • Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Haloti Ngata — why being suspended for the last four games of the season could have been the best thing for him and the Ravens.
  • Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh — how crazy is it that his recently fired little brother Jim is hanging out with him on the sidelines. What is he doing?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — Tom Brady is getting older, is this the last year for him to win a championship? Baltimore always seems to play well in New England in the playoffs, but is that a pattern or just a random series of events? Does it mean anything for this game?
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015: Rose Bowl plot and characters

In 2015 Dear Sports Fan will be previewing the biggest sporting event of the year in each of the 50 states in the United States plus the district of Columbia. Follow along with us on our interactive 2015 map.

California — The Rose Bowl

College Football — January 1, 2015 — Oregon Ducks vs. Florida State Seminoles, 5 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The Rose Bowl is a college football game with a long history and an exciting present. It has traditionally been played on New Year’s Day and this year is no different. What is different this year is that it will be one of two games playing the role of semifinal games in the new college football playoff system. The winner of the Rose Bowl will go on to play in a National Championship game later in January. This is the first time in recent history that a team could play more than once during “bowl season” and it’s widely seen as either a great innovation, an obvious solution that college football should have adopted years ago, or just another symptom of college football’s never ending slide into hypocrisy and greed. However you see it in the big picture, in the small picture, it’s a prospectively exciting football game. Let’s talk about the plot and learn the characters.

What’s the plot?

This game is likely to be cast as everything that’s bad about college football vs. everything that’s good. The Florida State Seminoles are playing the role of the bad guys here. Why? Well, let’s see. You start out with a racially questionable nickname (although the relationship with the existing Seminole tribe is one area where the college seems to have excelled) add a quarterback who has been arrested but not indicted on sexual assault charges and whose less serious behavior seems evidently dumb from other incidents (he was arrested for shoplifting crab-legs and suspended for shouting a purportedly amusing, sexually charged vulgar phrase) then mix in an New York Times expose on how the football program has warped the justice system over many years and you’ve got exactly the recipe for a team that most people would be happy rooting against. As a bonus, Florida State has won their last 27 games and last year’s national championship. Everyone likes a winner, just not this one. The Oregon Ducks are not necessarily an ideal candidate to play the good guys, but they will be viewed that way just because they are opposing Florida State. The Ducks came to prominence over the last fifteen years thanks to an extremely close relationship with Nike, whose headquarters are near the school. Before they were a good team, they were just the team that seemed to have an infinite number of infinitely bright uniforms. Then, as they got good, they became known for being coach Chip Kelly’s masterpiece of revolutionary, faced paced football. Even though Kelly has moved on to the NFL, the team’s image remains the same — an exciting offensive team that doesn’t quite have enough power to win the biggest games.

Who are the characters?

Jameis Winston — Winston is the quarterback of the Florida State Seminoles. He is the one who has been arrested for sexual assault. I know people are innocent until proven guilty in this country (although that’s a legal rule, not a blogging rule) but I’m more likely to think O.J. Simpson was truly innocent (he’s covering for his son!) than feel good about rooting for Winston. I think this is a pretty wide-spread belief (not the O.J. part) and that says moderately good things about our country. Winston has also never lost a college football game, and if he wins his last two this season before turning pro, he should probably be considered one of the best five players in college football history. Ouch. Marcus Mariota — As long as Mariota can get through the month without shredding his knees, he will be the first pick of next year’s NFL draft. He’s the prototypical modern quarterback. He’s tall (6’4″), fast (sub 4.5 seconds for the 40 yard dash, which is faster than you can imagine), and a good decision maker. If were were better than terrible at identifying good NFL quarterbacks, Mariota would be a sure thing. He’s also a senior, playing his third year for the Oregon Ducks (he sat out his freshman year.) When he won the Heisman trophy this year, he became the first Hawaiian born player to ever get that honor given to the best college football player each year. Mark Helfrich — Who? Right, that’s the point. Even sports fans don’t know who Mark Helfrich is. He’s the head coach of the Oregon Ducks. Reading this excellent article about him by Michael Weinreb in Grantland makes me feel like maybe the whole good vs. bad plot is actually legitimate. Here’s a few tidbits about Helfrich. He grew up in Oregon and loved the Ducks as a kid, even when they were terrible. He played college quarterback for Southern Oregon and later as a pro in Austria during the NFL’s flirtation with developing a minor league in Europe. Instead of screaming and yelling, like many coaches do during the game, he is “thorough and utterly prepared and calm on the sideline, an intellectual at heart who happens to be a football coach.”

Who’s going to win?

Oregon is actually favored by nine points. I take this to mean two things. First, that Vegas thinks Oregon is a little better than Florida State. And second, that Vegas thinks way more people want to bet on the good guys than the bad guys. I think Oregon will win but I fear Florida State might.