Sports Forecast for Monday, November 3, 2014

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on:

In today’s segment, I covered:

  • EPL – Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland, 3 p.m. ET, not on TV.
  • NHL – St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers, 7 p.m. ET on local cable.
  • NBA – Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 7:30 p.m. ET on local cable.
  • NBA – New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies 8 p.m. on local cable.
  • NFL – New York Giants vs. Indianapolis Colts 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on Sunday, November 2, 2014?

  1. Football happened: As is true on all fall Sundays, the biggest sports story was the National Football League. Six teams had the weekend off, so there were fewer games than on most weekends. That’ll make catching up on them easier, especially if you read our NFL One Liners.
  2. Major League Soccer playoffs: America’s men’s professional soccer league began its semifinals this weekend. They are organized as a home-and-home or two-leg series. That means each semi-final consists of two games (called legs) one at each team’s home field. Yesterday, the D.C. United lost to the NY Red Bulls 2-0 and FC Dallas tied Seattle’s Sounders FC 1-1. It’s weird to have ties in the playoffs, but that just means the second leg of the series will decide the outcome.
    Line: Ties in the playoffs? What’s up with that?
  3. Are the Miami Heat Mark Twain? After losing LeBron James during the off-season, a lot of people (myself included) thought the Miami Heat were going to be a bad basketball season this year. They’ve come out at the start of the season and answered their critics by rattling off three straight wins. Last night they beat the Toronto Rapters 107-102.
    Line: I guess the Heat are still going to be okay, even without LeBron James.
  4. Flames off to a hot (get it? get it?) start: Talk about surprising teams at the start of the season! In the NHL, the biggest surprise might be the Calgary Flames who, after many bad seasons in a row, are off to a great start. After yesterday’s 6-2 victory over the Montreal Canadiens, the Flames are 7-4-2.
    Line: The Flames are off to a very… good start. No pun intended, no pun executed.
  5. New York Marathon: Wilson Kipsang and Mary Keitany, both from Kenya, won the New York City marathon yesterday on a clear but windy day. The most exciting moment was in the last few hundred yards of the men’s race. Two runners were alone at the front, Kipsang and the enjoyably named Lelisa Desisa. Desisa hung sneakily behind Kipsang until a moment of his choosing when he decided to make a move and sprinted around and past Kipsang. He bumped Kipsang a little on his way around, which must have bugged the tall Kenyan. Kipsang did a double take, followed by a look of haughty disdain, as if to say, “what? you little bug! why would you even bother trying to beat me in this race?” Then he absolutely left Desisa in the dust.
    Line: Did you see the look Kipsang gave Desisa? LOL!

Week 9 NFL One Liners

On Mondays during in the fall, the conversation is so dominated by NFL football that the expression “Monday morning quarterback” has entered the vernacular. The phrase is defined by Google as “a person who passes judgment on and criticizes something after the event.” With the popularity of fantasy football, we now have Monday morning quarterbacks talking about football from two different perspectives. We want you to be able to participate in this great tradition, so all fall we’ll be running NFL One Liners on Monday. Use these tiny synopses throughout the day:

 

Week 9

Sunday, November 2, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17, at Cleveland Browns 22

The Cleveland Browns’ romp through the three weakest teams in the NFL continued today with a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They’re now 5-3 but one senses that reality might treat the Browns harshly once they start playing better teams.
Line: The Browns cut through opponents like a knife through butter but… so far all their opponents have basically been butter.

Jacksonville Jaguars 23, at Cincinnati Bengals 33

Talking about weak opponents, that’s written on the back of every Jaguars business card. The Jaguars may be the best of the worst teams but they still fell to the Bengals.
Line: Another week, another Jaguars loss. Maybe they would do better if they had a different governor?

Arizona Cardinals 28, at Dallas Cowboys 17

This matchup of highly ranked teams was marred by the absence of Cowboys starting quarterback Tony Romo who missed the game because of two broken bones in his back.
Line: Without Romo, the Cowboys never seemed to have a chance against the Cardinals.

Philadelphia Eagles 31, at Houston Texans 21

The Eagles lost their starting quarterback, Nick Foles in this game. The Texans lost their starting running back, Arian Foster. Despite quarterbacks being generally though of as less replaceable than running backs, the Eagles didn’t miss a beat while the Texans faltered.
Line: The Eagles barely seemed to miss Foles when he got injured.

New York Jets 10, at Kansas City Chiefs 24

Kansas City needed some good news after suffering a game seven World Series loss and an early elimination from the Major League Soccer playoffs during the past week. They got it with the arrival of the woeful New York Jets.
Line: I expect Rex Ryan to get fired this week. 

San Diego Chargers 0, at Miami Dolphins 27

I have no idea what happened in this game. I’m not sure anyone has any idea what happened in this game.
Line: I have no idea what happened in this game.

Washington Redskins 26, at Minnesota Vikings 29

This game was overshadowed by two artifacts of protest against the use of a racial slur as the name of an NFL team. 1. When the team bus was involved in a traffic accident, the NFL’s official twitter account posted a photo but referred to the team only as “Washington,” noticeably not using the team’s name.  2. Thousands of Minnesotans gathered before the game to protest the name.
Line: Washington lost, but the bigger story might be them losing their name soon enough.

SUNDAY, November 2, AT 4:05 and 4:25 P.M. ET

St. Louis Rams 13, at San Francisco 49ers 10

All year, the 49ers have seemed like a powder-keg of resentment towards their coach and worse than expected performance. The Rams might have just lit a match and thrown it.
Line: Watch out for the “49ers are exploding” stories this week.

Oakland Raiders 24, at Seattle Seahawks 30

Not a bad showing from the Raiders on the road in Seattle. The Raiders specialize in moral victories.
Line: Remember when the Raiders we’re good? Oh, you weren’t born then? Neither was I.

Denver Broncos 21, at New England Patriots 43

Like an anticipated heavyweight boxing match that ends with a first round knockout, leaving viewers feel like they were robbed of some enjoyment, this game was over before it really got started.
Line: The Patriots hit the Broncos before they could get started.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2, AT 8:30 P.M. ET

Baltimore Ravens 23, at Pittsburgh Steelers 43

The new-age Ravens and Steelers may not be the defensive behemoths of old, but, even as they are scoring lots of points, they seem to hit each other harder than any team hits another team.
Line: The Ravens vs. Steelers rivalry still brings out the most violent aspects of football, it’s just that they score now too.

NFL Week 9 Good Cop, Bad Cop Precaps

The NFL season has started but how do you know which games to watch and which to skip? Ask our favorite police duo with their good cop, bad cop precaps of all the Week 9 matchups in the National Football League this weekend. To see which games will be televised in your area, check out 506sports.com’s essential NFL maps. If you’re worried about watching too much football or if you’re negotiating for a little break during the weekend, read our weekly feature, Do Not Watch This Game.

Week 9

Sunday, November 2, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns

Good cop: I want to see if the Cleveland Browns can keep their winning season going! They’re like the Kansas City Royals of the NFL!

Bad cop: Including this week, over the last three weeks, the Browns will have played two 1-6 teams and one 0-7 team. Yeah, I think they’ll win but that isn’t saying much.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Good cop: Cats!

Bad cop: Dogs.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Good cop: These teams have been the most pleasant surprises of the year! They’re both at the top of their divisions and looking good!

Bad cop: You see pleasant surprise, I see two teams about to be exposed as being only okay at football. 

Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans

Good cop: This game features two of the most dynamic running games in the league!

Bad cop: Dynamic running games? What is this? 1934?

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs

Good cop: This game features a wonderful contrast in quarterbacks! Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith is consistent, plays everything safe, and is extremely accurate! New York Jets quarterback Michael Vick is dynamic, explosive, and crafty!

Bad cop: What? Vick is playing? Isn’t he 48 years old? Man, the Jets are having a terrible season.

San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins

Good cop: Powder blue versus teal! I love the teams as much as I love the colors!

Bad cop: Doesn’t it feel like these two teams have played three out of the last four weeks? It’s such an ordinary game, it feels like there are three or four of these every weekend.

Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings

Good cop: This is basically a single elimination game! At 3-5, both teams need a win!

Bad cop: And neither team deserves a win.

SUNDAY, November 2, AT 4:05 and 4:25 P.M. ET

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Good cop: True to form, the Rams are 2-5 overall but 1-1 in their division! No matter how bad the Rams are and how good the teams in their division are, they always play them tough!

Bad cop: Maybe. The 49ers beat the Rams 31-17 in St. Louis just three weeks ago though. What makes you think this game will be any closer in San Francisco?

Oakland Raiders at Seattle Seahawks

Good cop: Oh, my! The Seahawks might set a scoring record in this game!

Bad cop: You mean because the Raiders are so horrible? Don’t get too excited, the Seahawks aren’t that good either this year.

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots

Good cop: THIS IS THE BIG ONE! TOM BRADY VS. PEYTON MANNING FOR THE SIXTEENTH TIME! DENVER IS NUMBER 1 THIS YER IN POINTS SCORED PER GAME, NEW ENGLAND IS NUMBER THREE! I AM SO EXCITED ABOUT THIS GAME! 

Bad cop: You know what they say… when you get excited, you make an ass of yourself.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2, AT 8:30 P.M. ET

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Good cop: What nice balance between the big afternoon game and this one! As many points as will be scored in Patriots vs. Broncos, that’s how many bone-jarring hits there will be in this one! The Steelers and Ravens play OLD-FASHIONED FOOTBALL!

Bad cop: Oops, I think Good Cop fell into a time-machine. Last week, Steelers Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw six touchdown passes. Back in Week Six, Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco passed for five touchdown in twelve minutes. These are not your grandmother’s Ravens and Steelers. This game is just a cut-rate version of the Broncos v. Patriots game.

MONDAY, November 3, AT 8:30 P.M. ET

Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants

Good cop: What a great way to end the football week! Two classic franchises with good teams going head to head on Monday Night! I love it when football weekends end like this!

Bad cop: You do know that the last game every week is the Monday night game, right? And that Monday isn’t really in the weekend? And that the Colts are going to gobble the Giants up as effortlessly as hundreds of thousands of kids are going to gobble up trillions of pieces of candy tonight?

Sports Forecast for Friday, October 31, 2014

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on:

In today’s segment, I covered:

  • NHL – The Los Angeles Kings at the Detroit Red Wings, 7:30 p.m. ET on regional cable.
  • NBA – The Cleveland Cavaliers at the Chicago Bulls, 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
  • NBA – The Los Angeles Clippers at the Los Angeles Lakers, 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
  • NCAA Football – The Cincinnati Bearcats at the Tulane Green Wave, 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
  • NCAA Football – The Tulsa Golden Hurricane at the Memphis Tigers, 8 p.m. ET on ESPNU.

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on Thursday, October 30, 2014

  1. LeBron Loses in Return to Cleveland: LeBron’s first game back in Cleveland was spoiled by a feisty performance by the New York Knicks who won 95 – 90. It shouldn’t be too much of a surprise that the Cavaliers need some time to figure out how to play with each other because it’s an almost completely new team and coach but even so, it’s surprising they could lose to the Knicks, who are projected to be pretty bad this year.
    Line: I bet the Cleveland fans are still happy, regardless of the loss.
  2. More NBA disappointment:  Far more despondent than the Cleveland fans are fans of the Oklahoma City Thunder. Already without their best player, Kevin Durant, they’ll now have to do without their second best player, Russell Westbrook after he fractured his hand in a 93-90 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers.
    Line: NOoaooaoaooaoooO!!!
  3. Red Bulls advance: The New York Red Bulls rode two late goals from league leading goal-scorer Bradley Wright-Phillips to eliminate the defending champion Sporting Kansas City in the first round of the Major League Soccer playoffs.
    Line: Hey, that’s cool. The Red Bulls NEVER do well in the playoffs.
    What’s Next: The first leg of a home and home playoff series with D.C. United begins this Sunday at 4 p.m.
  4. Saints and Seminoles Survive: The Thursday night football game in the National Football League was reasonably close until Drew Brees led the Saints on a seven plus minute drive in the fourth quarter which ended in a touchdown and left the Panthers without nearly enough time to come back. The Saints won 28-10. In college football, the Louisville Cardinals got people hoping for an upset when they launched themselves to an early 21-0 lead. It wasn’t enough. The Florida State Seminoles came back to win 42-31.
    Line: Drew Brees, I can root for. Jameis Winston? Not so much.

Do Not Watch This Game 11.1.14 Weekend Edition

For sports fans, the weekend is a cornucopia of wonderful games to watch. This is particularly true in the fall with its traditional pattern of College Football on Saturday and NFL Football on Sunday and Monday. As the parent, child, girlfriend, boyfriend, partner, husband, wife, roommate, or best friend of a sports fan, this can be a challenge. It must be true that some games are more important to watch than others but it’s hard to know which is which. As a sports fan, the power of habit and hundreds of thousands of marketing dollars get in the way of remembering to take a break from sports and do something with your parent, child, girlfriend, boyfriend, partner, husband, wife, roommate, or best friend. To aid all of us in this, and just because it’s fun, I’m going to write a weekly post highlighting a single game that is ideal for skipping. Use this to help tell yourself or someone else: “Do not watch this game!”

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, NFL Football, All the Games but mostly San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys. They’re on CBS and Fox but do not watch these games!

Most weeks I make an argument that a specific game on the NFL calendar is a clear cut choice for skipping if you’re going to skip a game. I try to make the game I choose one of the prime-time games so that you have a chance to skip an entire time-slot as opposed to skipping one game just to watch another. If I dip into the 1:00 or 4:30 Sunday time-slots, I do it with a game that most of the country is going to get. This weekend is a little different. This weekend, there’s a game on the calendar that’s so good, I’m suggesting that the ideal way to watch football this weekend is to skip the entire 1:00 Sunday afternoon slate. That’s seven games to skip but the majority of the country will only be getting two, the San Diego Chargers at the Miami Dolphins and the Arizona Cardinals at the Dallas Cowboys. The reason to skip these games is to rest up, relax your mind, and prime yourself for the game the entire country, excluding Arizona, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern California will get at 4:25, the titanic matchup between the New England Patriots and the Denver Broncos; Tom Brady and Bill Bellichick on one side, Peyton Manning and Peyton Manning on the other.

It’s a tough suggestion to make. Both the 1:00 games look to be good ones. The Chargers and Dolphins find themselves in similar positions at this point in the season. They both have winning records but are looking up, way up, in the standings at the Broncos and Patriots respectively. They’re good teams but they’re likely to be fighting to make the playoffs this year as wildcard teams, not division winners, which means they’re actually direct rivals for a playoff spot. Head-to-head results are one of the top tie-breaking factors, so this game could become very important by the end of the year. The Cardinals and Cowboys are also similarly situated. They’re both at the top of their divisions but are looking over their shoulders at high-powered teams in their division. The Eagles are lurking right behind the Cowboys and the 49ers and Seahawks are chomping on the Cardinals’ tail. Neither is secure in their positions.

All that said, if you want to experience the 16th matchup between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning in all its nostalgic glory and its very current drama, you might want to come into that game fresh and ready to focus. If that means blowing off a couple of good but not great games before-hand, that might just be the thing to do. Take a longer brunch than you might otherwise do. Mow the lawn. Get to the bar early to claim a stool for the 4:25 game. Stay home and cook a New England Dinner AND some green chili enchiladas so you don’t run out of victuals during what might be, not a good, but a great game!

Alternate: If you or the sports fan in your life is a fan of one of the teams that plays at one, then this isn’t a good plan. Instead, skip the ESPN Monday Night game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New York Giants because Andrew Luck going against Eli Manning is going to feel like the under-card of the Manning-Brady fight.

Why can't pitchers pitch more than once every five days?

Dear Sports Fan,

I watched the World Series last night. The announcers kept saying how unusual it was for Madison Bumgarner to be pitching so well and so much after starting a game a few days ago. What’s up with that? Why can’t pitchers pitch more than once every five days?

Thanks,
Lucy


 

Dear Lucy,

Last night, San Francisco Giants pitcher Madison Bumgarner pitched five scoreless innings to drag his team to a World Series Championship. His performance is being lauded far and wide as the best thing since sliced bread and the bravest thing since Charles Sullenberger landed his plane safely in the Hudson River. Just check out some of what people are writing about Bumgarner’s performance last night:

“What Madison Bumgarner just did is supposed to be impossible.” – Deadspin

“He’s not human. We gotta do something about this guy. We gotta take him to the doctor, I guess. I don’t know. It seems like he is a robot.” – teammate Gregor Blanco, as told to Sports Illustrated

“I’ve seen a lot of great pitching performances. What Madison Bumgarner did over the last 72 hours is unlike anything I’ve seen. Incredible.” – sports columnist Jeff Passan on Twitter

It was clear, even to a novice baseball fan, that Bumgarner pitched wonderfully last night, but what isn’t as clear is why his performance was seen as being so inhuman and heroic. This is because starting pitchers normally can’t pitch more than once every five days. In order to properly appreciate Bumgarner’s performance, it’s useful to understand a little bit about why that is. It seems like throwing a ball shouldn’t be something you can only do once every five days, but that seems to be the case. Why is that?

Here’s the important thing to understand. Pitchers don’t throw the ball. That’s what you or I do. Pitchers throw their arms. This is why it’s so damaging to their bodies that they can only safely and successfully do it once every five days. Pitchers don’t generate force with their arms, they generate force with their legs and hips and torsos and use their arm as a lever and guiding mechanism. This means that their arms are subjected to however much force their bodies can generate. Bodies can generate a lot of force. Way more than arms can. Arms however, aren’t really evolved to handle that much force. What ends up happening is a little bit like what happens if you try to use a plastic knife to open a can of paint instead of one of those little metal keys or, if you’re like me, a screw driver. Here are a couple facts about the force pitchers generate from a Popular Mechanics article on the topic by Jeremy Repanich:

When a pitcher cocks his arm, where it is turned back to the point where the palm is facing toward the sky, there’s about 100 Newton-meters of torque on the arm, which subjects the arm to the same amount of stress as if the pitcher had a 60-pound weight hanging from his hand in that position… From that cocked position, the arm snaps forward to its release point in 0.03 seconds, and at its peak speed, an elite pitcher’s arm rotates at upward of 8500 degrees per second.

A baseball team uses its pitchers like medieval armies used those rock flinging machines, the trebuchets. Seriously. Compare the motion of these two hurling entities.

First, Madison Bumgarner:

Next, the Trebuchet:

Trebuchetanimation

It’s impressive but also a little scary. Going back to Repanich’s article, here’s what he has to say about pitchers who pitch close to 100 miles per hour:

The amount of torque needed to throw in excess of the century mark is greater than the amount of force the ulnar collateral ligament (the elbow ligament Strasburg tore) can withstand before giving out, according to tests Fleisig has done on cadavers.

Indeed, pitchers injure themselves frequently. The amount of force they use in their pitching motion tears things in their elbows and shoulders. Every pitch they throw strains their arms a little more, pulling and stretching ligaments to their limits and beyond. The more they pitch, the more likely they are to injure themselves. Starting pitchers may pitch up to around 120 times in a game. After a game, they do everything they can to heal the damage done during the game. They ice, they rest, and they wrap, they probably do all sorts of other stuff too that we don’t know about and maybe don’t really want to know about.

What Madison Bumgarner did by pitching perfectly on two days rest was prove that he could will his body to perform when it shouldn’t have been able to or prove that his body is unlike everyone else’s. Either way, it was pretty impressive.

Hope this makes more sense now,
Ezra Fischer

Sports Forecast for Thursday, October 30, 2014

Sports is no fun if you don’t know what’s going on. Here’s what’s going on:

In today’s segment, I covered:

  • NHL – Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins, 7 p.m. on NHL Network
  • NBA – New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers, 8 p.m. on TNT
  • NBA – Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers, 10:30 p.m. on TNT
  • MLS – New York Red Bulls vs. Sporting Kansas City, 8 p.m. on ESPN2
  • NCAA Football – Florida State vs. Louisville, 7:30 on ESPN
  • NFL – New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers, 8:25 on NFL Network

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

What happened on Wednesday, October 29, 2014

  1. Bumgarner drags the Giants to the World Series Championship: Numbers one through eighteen hundred on this list today are MADISON BUMGARNER. That’s really all sports fans will be talking about today. And he’s worth talking about! The San Francisco Giants beat the Kansas City Royals 3-2 in game seven of the World Series last night. The Royals scored both of their runs against the Giants starting pitcher, Tim Hudson. Their manager decided to yank him out of the game in the second inning, a move that’s often a sign of doom for the team making it. Not in this case, because that team had Madison Bumgarner. After Jeremy Affeldt got them through the fourth inning, Bumgarner took over and pitched the final five innings without allowing a single run. That would be a remarkable performance from anyone given the circumstances but what makes it truly remarkable is that Bumgarner had just pitched a complete game three days before. Bumgarner is a starting pitcher, which means he usually only pitches once every five days. Most people who try to come back sooner than that aren’t able to pitch very well or for very long. Each time Bumgarner came out to start the next inning last night, you thought to yourself, “I can’t believe he’s still doing this. Maybe this is the inning he’ll break down.” He never did.

    It wasn’t just a dominant physical performance, it was also an impressive psychological feat. As long as Bumgarner kept his mind doubt-free (or at least kept his doubts from showing) you got the sense that the Royals felt completely doomed. They had tried everything against him in his two previous starts during the World Series and nothing had worked. He had all but shut them out for 18 innings before last night. They knew they weren’t beating a healthy, confident Bumgarner. But it was a thin line to walk. At least I had the sense that if Bumgarner had to leave the game, the Royals might have felt like they had slain the monster, and the delicate balance would have turned their way.

    Line: Bumgarner, Bumgarner, Bumgarner.

  2. Bumgarner
  3. Bumgarner
  4. Bumgarner
  5. That’s all we have today. Bumgarner!