Three lessons about free thought from the New England Patriots

In football, like many other pursuits, it’s important to abide by the rules of the game. Football is chock full of technicalities; intricate rules which mandate when and where players can move down to the inch, how teams can set up for plays, how players can dress, and even the minute details that determine the difference between a catch, a fumble, or an incompletion. In addition to its deep and complicated rules, football (like so many other aspects of life), also has a set of conventions. These unwritten rules are so woven into the culture of football that they seem as incontrovertible as the rules themselves. Convention has a powerful impact on how football games are played but as long as everyone abides by them they don’t have a significant impact on who wins football games. The New England Patriots, led by their brusquely radical coach Bill Bellichick are the one team that shows over and over again that they know the difference between a convention and a rule and that they are willing (and gleefully excited?) to break with convention in order to win football games. This past weekend, the Patriots beat the Baltimore Ravens 35-31 in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. It was a close game and the Patriots might easily have lost the game if they had prepared for the game and reacted to its events in a conventional way. Let’s examine some of the conventions the Patriots broke and how then benefited from breaking them.

  1. Teams have playbooks and stick to them: In the NFL, the team playbook is a top-secret document of monumental importance. When players are cut, the conventional phrase used is, “Pick up your playbook and go see the coach.” Teams are obsessive about keeping the design and terminology of their offense secret. Minnesota Vikings linebacker Chad Greenway was quoted in an ESPN article saying this of NFL playbooks “you always have it with you. That’s the one thing that’s sacred to football. It has all our secrets.” The issue with all this secrecy is that it creates an assumption that teams run a set of plays that is particular to them from game to game and season to season and that these plays give them an advantage over other teams. The Patriots don’t particularly believe this. In 2006 the Hartford Courant wrote an article about this element of New England Patriotism and quoted Bellichick as saying, “It’s kind of there as a reference manual… I’m sure teams have our playbook.” The Patriots are less protective of their own playbook in part because they are more resourceful than other teams in sourcing and installing new plays. As we’ll see later, one of the biggest factors in their win over the Ravens was a set of plays which were inspired by Alabama’s college football team and one of the Patriots’ NFL competitors.
    Lesson: Don’t be a one or even a ten trick pony. Focus on flexibility and fit your tactics to the task at hand.
  2. Balance is good: Offensive football plays are generally divided into two main groups: running plays and passing plays. A running play is when the quarterback takes the ball and hands it to someone behind the line of scrimmage where the ball was when the play started. A passing play is when the quarterback tries to throw the ball across or down the field to one of his teammates. Although football has generally been evolving over the past twenty years into a league where teams pass more and more of the time, most teams abide by the convention that they should use a mix of running plays and passing plays during a game. There’s no rule against a team running all the time or throwing all the time but the common belief is that if you slant your tactics too far in one direction or the other, you give up the element of surprise and a defense that knows what is coming will find it easier to stop what you’re trying to do. In this weekend’s game against the Ravens, the Patriots ran the ball seven out of the 58 offensive plays they used and not a single time in the decisive second half. The Patriots believed they could exploit a Baltimore pass defense that Football Outsiders ranked 15th in the league more easily than their run defense which Football Outsiders ranked 5th in the league and they didn’t care who knew it, nor were they going to stop doing it once it started to work.
    Lesson: If you find a competitive advantage, use it. Don’t let convention soften your advantages.
  3. A football team looks like this: Football is a very ritualistic game. In a normal game, the two teams will line up against each other in 100 to 120 plays that each begin from a stand-still. This rigid structure is what makes football perhaps the most tactically interesting of all the major sports but it can also lead to rigidity in thought. Sometimes this rigid thought leads coaches or general managers to believe that a player who does not “look the type” cannot succeed. For decades (and still perhaps to some extent today,) this was played out in the sad discrimination against Black quarterbacks. Even today, players with unusual body types for their position, like short wide receivers (the Patriots have two starting wide receivers under six-feet tall) find their path to the NFL more difficult than their taller competition. Another way this plays out on the football field is in what blend of players a team uses and in what formations they set them up in. The Patriots have been more flexible about this than other NFL teams for years. In the early 2000s, when the Patriots won three Super Bowls, one of their best players was named Troy Brown. During the Patriots first two Super Bowl seasons, Brown was one of their leading wide receivers. In their run to the playoffs in 2004, the team suffered a series of defensive injuries, so they used Brown as a cornerback. They won the Super Bowl again. The Patriots also demonstrate flexibility in how they deploy players. A traditional formation on offense calls for a quarterback, five offensive linemen, one tight end, and a combination of running backs and wide receivers to fill out the eleven man team. In 2010, the Patriots shook up the league by regularly deploying two tight ends that were both threats to catch the ball. They led the league in points scored that season.
    Just this weekend, the Patriots subverted the norms of football even farther when they ran four plays against the Ravens with only four offensive linemen on the field. This was extremely clever because the convention of having five offensive linemen on the field is bolstered by a rule which requires that exactly five players on the offense declare themselves as “ineligible receivers” on every play. What this means is that those players cannot catch a pass and run with the ball, nor can they run down the field to hit a defender while the quarterback has the ball. It’s generally assumed that these restrictions apply to offensive linemen but it’s not a rule. When the Patriots used four offensive linemen, they were potentially putting themselves at a disadvantage. There’s a reason why offensive linemen are behemoths with overly developed protective instincts. Without good offensive linemen, the defense would pummel the quarterback before he has a chance to throw the ball. This is especially true if the defense knows the offense is going to pass! By putting a smaller player on the field (and one who could only run backwards and could not touch the ball,) the Patriots were risking the safety of their quarterback and their ability to win. What they relied on and what indeed happened is that the defense was so confused by what was going on and so bound by convention, that they treated the ineligible receiver as a real threat. They took players away from attacking the quarterback to follow this ineligible receiver around. It wouldn’t have confused them forever but it worked for four plays and that might have been enough.
    Lesson: Don’t allow convention to blind your common sense and by all means, if you can better your chances by legally and morally taking advantage of someone else’s devotion to conventional thought, do so.

The Patriots radical thought is not all good. It gives them a somewhat cold-blooded approach to personnel decisions. They understand the cost of paying a player a salary during their twilight years in the NFL based on performance in their prime years and so they err on the side of trading or cutting players slightly before the end of their primes. In making these decisions, they don’t seem to care at all if the player is a fan favorite or even very much about whether they are beloved by their teammates. It also means they knowingly choose to take risks on players that other teams may be wary of for off-the-field reasons. Tight end Aaron Hernandez, one of the two tight-ends the Patriots used in 2010 to lead the league in offense, is now awaiting trial for murder. For the most part though, the Patriots are good for the league. They encourage innovation and are a fine exhibition of how intellect and design can win in even the most muscle-bound competitions. Plus, they’re fun to watch. You never know what they’ll try next.

2015: College Football Championship plot and characters

In 2015 Dear Sports Fan will be previewing the biggest sporting event of the year in each of the 50 states in the United States plus the district of Columbia. Follow along with us on our interactive 2015 map.

Texas — The College Football Playoff Championship Game

College Football — January 12, 2015 — Oregon Ducks vs. Ohio State Buckeyes, 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

For the first time ever, college football is using a playoff system to determine the best team in the country. In the past, the national championship was decided by vote (until 1998) or by the result of a single game with its two competitors decided by a mixture of computer and human ranking systems. This year, there was a selection committee made up of thirteen people including some former college coaches, players, athletic directors, as well as a journalist and Condoleezza Rice. These thirteen people chose four teams to play in two semi-final games on New Year’s Day. The winners of those games, Oregon and Ohio State, get to play tonight in the College Football Playoff Championship game. The national championship game is always a big deal but this year it seems even bigger. Having a playoff may or may not be a more fair way of deciding the best team in the country but it absolutely makes it a more compelling sporting event. One of the main problems with the way college football was done in the past was that by the time the national championship game came around, the two teams playing hadn’t played competitively for over a month. That was bad for them and bad for viewers. This way, the teams just played the week before last. They should be at the top of their game and they’re fresh in spectators’ minds.

What’s the plot?

This is Coke vs. Pepsi. Ohio State and Oregon are both big time college football programs. Ohio State has a longer history than Oregon, so they will be playing the role of Coke. Oregon sometimes gets cast as the happy-go-lucky, quirky Pacific Northwest team but actually, they’re the prototypical nouveau riche of college football. The Oregon football program is basically a branch of Nike. Nike co-founder Phil Knight is an alumnus of Oregon, where he ran on the track & field team. As a proud alum but also in what has probably been a smart business decision, he’s donated a lot of money to Oregon athletics. Wikipedia cites figures well above $100 million! The Oregon Ducks football team is famous for their fast-paced style of play and their many, many uniforms. It seems like every game, the team comes out with a brand new style of uniform and all of them make the team seem like the fastest one out there. Or wait, maybe that’s just because they are great athletes. Oregon is Pepsi — a little less traditional, a little quirky, but materially the same as Coke.

Part of the plot, or at least the fun, of this game is how it’s going to be produced on ESPN. ESPN is rallying all of its channels to provide different choices of how to consume the game. If you just feel like watching the football game, you can see it on ESPN in English or ESPN Deportes in Spanish. If you want to watch the game but get different commentary, you have three main options: ESPN2 will be doing a “Film Room” take on the game with a bunch of coaches breaking down the tactics, ESPNU will have a group of random ESPN personalities blabbing about the game as they watch it together, and ESPN News will be showing the game with a group of ESPN analysts talking. On ESPN3, the online streaming service, you can get the game synched up with either the Ohio State radio announcers or the Oregon radio announcers, or you can watch the whole thing from that cool “Spider Cam” that roams over the field, suspended by wires. My favorite option is the “Sounds of the Game” option on ESPN Classic that shows the game without any commentators at all! How cool will it be to just hear sounds from the stadium itself?

Regardless of which team wins this game, it will be a fairy tale ending for the winning team’s quarterback. If Oregon wins, their quarterback Marcus Mariota will be like the cowboy wearing the white hat, riding off into the sunset after vanquishing all his enemies. If Ohio State wins, their quarterback, Cardale Jones, will be a true Cinderella story. The third quarterback on his own team, winning this game would indelibly leave a mark on college football history. Let’s find out more about the characters.

Who are the characters?

Cardale Jones — Quarterback is by far the most important single position in football. Great quarterbacks are extremely rare and even functional ones are difficult to find. Teams that lose their starting quarterback to a long term injury very rarely have an acceptable backup who can maintain the level of play at a high enough level for the team to succeed. Teams that lose their first and second string quarterback are almost always dead in the water. We’re seeing that now in the NFL with the Arizona Cardinals whose play has declined dramatically as they descended from Carson Palmer to Drew Stanton to Ryan Lindley. Ohio State has been through the exact same series of injuries this year but each time they lose a quarterback, a new one steps in and the team doesn’t miss a beat. Cardale Jones is the third quarterback up for Ohio State and in his first game as a starter, he led the Ohio State team to a 59-0 win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. He followed that up with an unbelievable performance in the team’s semi-final win over Alabama. Jones has an almost stereotypically hard-luck back-story and I certainly hope that he beats the odds to play well in this game.

Marcus Mariota — As long as Mariota can get through this game without shredding his knees, he will be the first pick of next year’s NFL draft. He’s the prototypical modern quarterback. He’s tall (6’4″), fast (sub 4.5 seconds for the 40 yard dash, which is faster than you can imagine), and a good decision maker. If we were better than terrible at identifying good NFL quarterbacks, Mariota would be a sure thing. He’s also a senior, playing his third year for the Oregon Ducks (he sat out his freshman year.) When he won the Heisman trophy this year, he became the first Hawaiian born player to ever get that honor given to the best college football player each year. If he can win this game, he’ll leave college on top of his sport.

Mark Helfrich — Who? Right, that’s the point. Even sports fans don’t know who Mark Helfrich is. He’s the head coach of the Oregon Ducks. Reading this excellent article about him by Michael Weinreb in Grantland makes me feel like maybe there are some college football coaches out there who care about more than just winning and getting paid. Here’s a few tidbits about Helfrich. He grew up in Oregon and loved the Ducks as a kid, even when they were terrible. He played college quarterback for Southern Oregon and later as a pro in Austria during the NFL’s flirtation with developing a minor league in Europe. Instead of screaming and yelling, like many coaches do during the game, he is “thorough and utterly prepared and calm on the sideline, an intellectual at heart who happens to be a football coach.”

Who’s going to win?

Oregon is favored by six points. That may seem like a lot but the over/under (you can bet on whether the combined total of both teams’ scoring is over or under a number set by Vegas) is 74, so six points is only eight percent of the expected scoring. The odds suggest a close, high-scoring game, but I always think that college kids (and they are really kids, after all) tend to get a little more nervous than we expect in the biggest games. My guess is that it takes a little while for the offenses to settle down. That might be enough to give Ohio State a chance to keep up with Oregon and squeak by them for victory in a relatively low scoring game.

2015 NFL Divisional One Liners

On Mondays during in the fall, the conversation is so dominated by NFL football that the expression “Monday morning quarterback” has entered the vernacular. The phrase is defined by Google as “a person who passes judgment on and criticizes something after the event.” With the popularity of fantasy football, we now have Monday morning quarterbacks talking about football from two different perspectives. We want you to be able to participate in this great tradition, so all fall we’ll be running NFL One Liners on Monday. Use these tiny synopses throughout the day:

Divisional Weekend

Saturday, January 10, at 4:35 p.m. ET, on NBC

Baltimore Ravens 31, at New England Patriots 35

This was the best played game of the weekend. Like predicted pretty much everywhere, the Ravens were completely unintimidated by playing against New England in New England, and started out the game with two quick touchdowns. New England responded nicely though, and for most of the game, the teams went back and forth scoring touchdowns against each other. In the second half, the Patriots broke out a few tricky strategies that worked well against the physical Ravens defense. On one play, quarterback Tom Brady threw the ball backwards to wide receiver Julian Edelman, who, because it had been a backwards pass, was allowed to pass the ball all the way down the field to fellow wide receiver Danny Amendola for a touchdown. The other tricky thing the Patriots did a few times was use four offensive lineman, one fewer than normal, which seemed to totally befuddle the Ravens. In the end, the Patriots scored just a little more than the Ravens and won the game 35-31.
Line: Those tricky Patriots flat out outsmarted the Ravens.

Saturday, January 10, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Fox

Carolina Panthers 17 at Seattle Seahawks 31

I fell asleep on the couch at halftime of this game and probably so did you. We didn’t miss much as the second half went exactly how everyone expected it to go. Seattle, playing at home and close to full strength, was simply a superior football team. This is no surprise. The Panthers only won seven games out of 16 this season and made it to the playoffs only because of a wrinkle in NFL rules. Seattle easily put them in their place… on the couch with us, snoozing away.
Line: I fell asleep. No great loss.

Sunday, January 11, at 1:05 p.m. ET on Fox

Dallas Cowboys 21, at Green Bay Packers 26

The most highly anticipated game of the weekend did not disappoint in the drama department. One of the stories all week leading up to the game was Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers and his partially torn calf muscle. Sure enough, he looked pretty gimpy out there. He normally is a graceful and powerful player when he runs with the ball but in this game, he was limping around. You could tell he had to rely on arm-strength to throw the ball because he couldn’t step into his throws the way he’s used to. Luckily, he’s got more arm strength than a 10 normal people (or 15 bloggers) and he was able to compensate. The biggest moment of the game was a controversial call in the fourth quarter that pretty much ended the game for the Cowboys. The Cowboys had the ball but it was fourth down (last chance!) and they had to move the ball two yards to get another set of downs. Instead of trying to get two yards, quarterback Tony Romo threw the ball way down the field, where wide receiver Dez Bryant leapt high, high in the air, snagged the ball, and reached for the end zone as he fell. It was an incredible play, and the refs on the field called it a complete pass but not a touchdown. After reviewing the tape, the refs reversed themselves and declared the Bryant had actually been unable to hold onto the ball all the way to the ground. The pass didn’t count, Green Bay got the ball, and Dallas never had another chance. This was a true reversal in fortunes from last week when many people thought that Dallas had unfairly been aided by a bad call against their opponents in that game, the Detroit Lions.
Line: Live by the refs, die by the refs.

Sunday, January 11, at 4:40 p.m. ET on CBS

Indianapolis Colts 24, at Denver Broncos 13

This was the only real let-down of the weekend. We billed this game in our preview as the “Peyton Manning bowl.” Manning, the legendary quarterback of the Denver Broncos, was the centerpiece of most people’s interest in the game but once the game actually started, we pretty quickly saw that he was playing terribly. At one point in the second half, the had only completed something like 9 of the 23 or 24 passes he had attempted. That’s not a good average and for him, it’s an unusual disaster. The game went Indianapolis’ way and you never felt like Denver could catch up. It’s a disappointment for Denver Broncos fans and it may be Peyton Manning’s last game. He’s said he was planning on playing next year but he isn’t sure.
Line: If this was Peyton Manning’s last game, it wasn’t a very good way to go out.

2015 NFL Divisional Weekend Good Gop, Bad Cop Precaps

It’s the NFL Divisional round weekend. The second of two weekends with four NFL playoff games spread across Saturday and Sunday like an octopus with each limb representing a team still alive to make the Super Bowl. Divisional weekend is, in my mind, the best weekend of the NFL season. This year, my friend Brendan and I recorded 10-15 minute preview podcasts of each of the games. I’ve linked to those in the game titles below. But, lucky for you, it’s not just Brendan and me blathering on about the NFL. Fresh of a season of previewing all the NFL games, our favorite police duo bring their good cop, bad cop act into the playoffs and preview all the matchups in the National Football League this weekend.

Divisional Weekend

Saturday, January 10, at 4:35 p.m. ET, on NBC

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots

Good cop: Forget about Peyton Manning, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady’s true nemesis is Baltimore’s Joe Flacco! Flacco has sauntered into New England three times in the last five years and won twice! If Brady is known as the golden boy, Flacco should be known as the alchemy boy! During the regular season, he looks like coal, but he transforms into gold during the playoffs! Flacco is 10-4 in the playoffs! Brady is 18-8 but only 9-8 since 2004! Plus, this game has the ultimate skill vs. will matchup between Patriots defensive back Darrelle Revis and Baltimore wide receiver Steve Smith Sr.!!

Bad cop: I’ve never even heard of the defensive backs on the Ravens. They’re not good. Bellichick and Brady have had two weeks to figure out how to exploit them. That’s more than enough.

Saturday, January 10, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Fox

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks

Good cop: Cam Newton likes to dress up and act like Super Man! He’ll need his cape if the Panthers are going to have any sort of shot at beating the Seahawks! Crazier things have happened though! The only thing Seattle has looked vulnerable to all year has been a powerful running game and that’s exactly how the Panthers are going to attack them!

Bad cop: No chance. The Panthers have no chance. If this were a regular season game, we wouldn’t even bother watching it.

Sunday, January 11, at 1:05 p.m. ET on Fox

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers

Good cop: This is the big one! The Cowboys and Packers are enormously popular teams with huge fan bases! Quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo are two of the biggest stars in the game! The setting is perfect! Lambeau Field in Green Bay is a classic stadium! Frozen tundra!

Bad cop: Tundra is “a vast, flat, treeless Arctic region of Europe, Asia, and North America in which the subsoil is permanently frozen.” A closely groomed football field with a built-in heating system is not frozen tundra. Just like the legend of the frozen tundra, reports of this game’s greatness will prove to have been exaggerated.

Sunday, January 11, at 4:40 p.m. ET on CBS

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

Good cop: It’s the Peyton Manning bowl! Peyton goes up against his old team led by his young, prodigal replacement, Andrew Luck! Plus, who can resist a nicely themed football game?! It’s a battle for horse supremacy in the NFL! 

Bad cop: Mmmmm hmmm. Since October, the Colts have only won two games against teams with winning records, and those were games against the Texans (barely winning at 9-7) and last week against the Bengals who predictably turn into pumpkins in the playoffs. They’re pretty fraudulent for an 11-5 playoff team. The only thing that could keep the Broncos from winning would be if the wind or cold picked up and made Manning lose his ability to play football. If you watch this game, you’re pretty much just rooting for or against weather.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Indianapolis at Denver

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 11, 2015 — Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos, 4:40 p.m. ET on CBS.

  • Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning — why this game is all about him and what’s so interesting about him.
  • Denver Broncos wide receiver Wes Welker — how he epitomizes the concussion crisis in the NFL and why we all feel so comfortable telling him what to do.
  • Indianapolis Colts running back Daniel “boom” Herron — why he might actually be the key to this game.
  •  A plot synopsis of the game — Peyton Manning dominates the plot. It’s him against his old team. It’s him potentially playing in cold weather. It’s him playing for potentially his last chance at a Super Bowl. It’s him and the Broncos trying to recover from last year’s playoff loss. But, funny enough, in terms of the outcome of the game, the Broncos defense vs. the Colts offense might be more important.
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Dallas at Green Bay

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 11, 2015 — Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers, 1:05 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers — he’s the best quarterback in the league, but he’s injured. How good can he still be?
  • Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jordy Nelson — why does he seem to be open deep, all the time? Could assumptions of race play into it?
  • Green Bay Packers linebacker Clay Matthews — and why you’ll want to “reach out and touch his hair.”
  • Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo — has his sports narrative conclusively changed after last week’s game? Is there actually a clutch gene? What about an “oops” gene?
  • Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Cole Beasley — talking about open, why does it seem like he’s open on every play?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — This is the biggest game of the weekend from a spectacle standpoint. It’s America’s Team (the Cowboys) vs. the only collectively owned major sports franchise in the country (Green Bay.) As for the actual game, Green Bay should probably win, but if Tony Romo and the Cowboys can win, the’ll remove the playoff monkey from their backs forever. Aaron Rodgers’ injured calf is the other big plot point of the game. How bad is his leg? What will the weather be like?
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Carolina at Seattle

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 10, 2015 — Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman — why he might be the most dangerous defensive back in the league.
  • Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch — is he unhappy or do the Seahawks just not want to pay him next year? And what’s up with the Skittles?
  • Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson — on his knack of not making mistakes and not getting hit.
  • Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton — how injured is he?
  • Carolina Panthers fullback Mike Tolbert — an unsung hero.
  • Carolina Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart — after many years of being criticized for underperforming or being injured, he’s played wonderfully for the past few weeks. Can he keep it up this week?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — this really should be the end for the Carolina Panthers. Seattle is the defending champions and they look great. To add injury to insult, Carolina’s best defensive lineman broke his foot in practice this week. Seattle’s home field advantage is the best in the league.
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Divisional Preview Baltimore at New England

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 10, 2015 — Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots, 4:35 p.m. ET on NBC.

  • New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady — why is Brady the antithesis of everything the New England Patriots stand for.
  • New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski — a dude in all senses of the word.
  • New England Patriots cornerback Darrelle Revis — and how he may have his hands full this weekend.
  • Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Haloti Ngata — why being suspended for the last four games of the season could have been the best thing for him and the Ravens.
  • Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh — how crazy is it that his recently fired little brother Jim is hanging out with him on the sidelines. What is he doing?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — Tom Brady is getting older, is this the last year for him to win a championship? Baltimore always seems to play well in New England in the playoffs, but is that a pattern or just a random series of events? Does it mean anything for this game?
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

Why don't Giants fans like the Cowboys?

Dear Sports Fan,

I am still learning about American football. There are too many rules. 🙂 Anyway, last night watching the game of Cowboy and Lions with friends in NYC, I realized Giants fans don’t like the Cowboys. Why is that?

Happy New Year,
Eunee


Dear Eunee,

No fan of an National Football League (NFL) team particularly likes any of the other 31 teams in the league but you’re right that fans of the New York Giants like the Dallas Cowboys less than most. I know there’s a little bit of ambiguity in that statement. Let me clarify. Fans of the New York Giants like the Cowboys less than they like most other teams AND fans of the New York Giants like the Cowboys less than fans of other teams like the Cowboys. I meant both meanings because they are both true! There are a few reasons for this, one obvious to football fans but which requires some explanation to everyone else and a couple more subtle ones. The football reason which needs to be explained to be understood is that the Cowboys and Giants play in the same division.

The NFL is made up of 32 teams. These teams are split into two 16 team conferences. The conferences are based on history, not geography. The National Football Conference (NFC) is made up mostly of original NFL teams while the American Football Conference (AFC) is made up of mostly teams that were originally part of the American Football League (AFL), a professional league that competed with the NFL before the two leagues merged between 1966 and 1970. Within each conference, the teams are divided into four groups of four teams each called divisions. Conferences and divisions are importantly largely because they help define a team’s opponents each season and affect a team’s playoff chances. As we discussed at length a couple of weeks ago, playoff spots are reserved for the best team in each of the four divisions, regardless of how that team compares to other teams in the conference or league. Each year team’s play every other team in their division twice, six games against other teams in their conference, and only four against teams from the other conference. Not only do games against the other teams in their division mean more for determining whether a team makes the playoffs but because the teams play against each other twice a year, every year (that’s somewhere around five times more frequently than teams in the same conference but not the same division and eight times more frequently than teams in the other conference) divisional opponents tend to develop fierce rivalries. Fans pick up these rivalries and often carry them even more ferociously than the players or coaches involved.

The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys are in the NFC East division along with the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins. Giants fans, of course, (sports) hate the Eagles and Redskins as well as the Cowboys (and if either of those teams had been in the playoffs, you would have heard complaints about them too), but maybe, Giants fans hate those teams just a smidge less. There are two reasons for this: the first is simply a question of geography. Philadelphia and Washington D.C. are at least mid-Atlantic cities. They’re not the same as New York, and from my understanding of New Yorkers, they don’t pose a threat to New York from a city-comparison perspective, but they are at least understandable. The Cowboys, on the other hand, are from way out in Texas somewhere and the identity of their team and fans, while not as outwardly offensive as the Washington Redskins, is totally foreign to New Yorkers. Dallas epitomizes everything that’s foreign and slightly embarrassing for football fans who grew up in New York. This is particularly true because somewhere in the 1970s, the Cowboys became one of the most overall popular teams in the NFL. This led to their being nicknamed “America’s Team” in 1978 by NFL films itself. This legacy has lived on and, despite only having won a single playoff game before this past weekend since 1996, the Cowboys have remained central to the NFL. They are the premiere team, the most talked about team, the most widely loved team, even when someone else wins the Super Bowl. That plays into them engendering more hatred than any other team as well.

Whether you decide to be a Cowboys fan or hater, I hope you enjoy the playoffs,
Ezra Fischer

How does kneeling work in football?

Dear Sports Fan,

How does kneeling work in football? This is one part of the game that I just don’t understand. Even in a close game, it seems like both teams decide that the game is over while there is still time on the clock. Why is that? And when does it happen?

Thanks,
Jack


Dear Jack,

Football is the ultimate effort sport. It’s a cliche that football players and coaches talk about “going 110%” and “leaving it all out on the field.” To which most people reply, “you can’t go harder than 100%, that’s nonsensical” and as for “leaving it all out on the field, we hope that doesn’t include your pants, underwear, or long-term health.” Nonetheless, it does seem like football players and coaches constantly give their full effort to winning the game. That makes it all the more disconcerting for viewers when the game ends with one or a series of plays where neither team seems to be trying at all. These plays are called kneel downs or quarterback kneels. The quarterback kneel is sort of like what happens in a chess game when one player sees that their opponent will be able to checkmate them in a few moves, no matter what they do. It’s a concession, but in this case the initiative is taken by the winning side instead of the losing side. When a team kneels, they’re saying that they are willing to sacrifice their attempt to advance the ball in order to safely run time off the clock. Here’s how it works.

Football is a game with a clock. In each quarter of the game, the clock starts at fifteen minutes (for this post, we’re assuming that you’re watching the NFL, but things are almost the same in college football) in each quarter and counts down to zero. When the clock hits zero in the fourth quarter, the game is over and whichever team has more points, wins. It’s also a game of alternating possessions. One team has the ball and keeps it as long as they can move the ball ten yards in four plays (if this concept is still blurry for you, read our post on down and distance). Although most plays last for only a few seconds to a dozen, the clock may count down between plays. Whether or not the clock runs is based on the outcome of the previous play. The rules that dictate this are somewhat Byzantine but to understand the kneel down, you only need to know that if a player who has the ball is tackled within the field, the clock runs between plays. When a player (usually the quarterback) kneels with the ball, they are performing a ritual equivalent of being tackled with the ball — instead of actually being tackled, according to NFL rules, they are allowed to simulate being tackled by voluntarily kneeling. When a quarterback kneels with the ball, that play is over and the ball is set up for the next play. Teams are allowed up to forty seconds between plays. So, a team that kneels the ball can expect that action to allow around 42 seconds to run off the clock. The reason why it’s 42 and not 40 is that the play itself might take around three seconds and a team will snap the ball with about one second left on the forty-second play clock.

Like so much of football, the simple concept of kneeling is complicated by a few technicalities. If you enjoy technicalities, you’ll love football! There’s a reason why so many NFL referees are lawyers! The first technicality is that the clock always stops on a change of possession. A change of possession, when the team that starts with the ball on one play does not start with the ball on the next is normally the result of an interception, a fumble, or a punt but it can also be the result of a fourth down play that isn’t a punt but doesn’t result in a first down. In other words, if a team kneels on fourth down, the game clock will immediately stop at the end of the play; it will not run once the play is done. That effectively limits kneeling to be a first, second, or third down tactic. The other technicality is that each team gets three timeouts per half. These timeouts can be used between any two plays and they result, not only in a commercial break, but also in the game clock stopping between plays. A time out can counteract the effect of kneeling. The last technicality is the two-minute warning. This is an arbitrary timeout that’s called (but not charged to either team) after the last play that starts before the game clock has hit 2:00 remaining in the second and fourth quarters. The two-minute warning would also stop the clock between plays, so kneeling before it is rare.

So, how do you know when a team is going to use the kneeling strategy? Usually, a team will only kneel if, by kneeling on successive plays, they can run the clock all the way to zero and therefore conclusively win the game. The exact time in a game when they can do this is modified by the number of timeouts the team without the ball has and the down for the team that has the ball and is leading the game. It’s a sliding scale best expressed as a table:

 

Kneel Chart NFL 2

Remember, a team can waste 42 seconds per kneel down but that is made up of three seconds to execute the kneel and another 39 that runs off between plays if the clock does not stop. Here’s a few examples of how I got to the numbers in the cells:

  • 1st down, one timeout remaining: 1st down — kneel for three seconds, defense takes a timeout; 2nd down — kneel for three seconds (6 total), defense has no timeouts remaining, so the clock runs an additional 39 seconds (45 total); 3rd down — kneel for three seconds (48 total), defense has no time remaining, so the clock runs an additional 39 seconds (87 or 1:27 total).
  • 2nd down, no timeouts remaining: 2nd down, kneel for three seconds, clock runs an additional 39 (42 total); third down — kneel for three seconds, clock runs an additional 39 (84 or 1:24 total).

You can see from this chart how the two-minute warning affects this strategy by effectively giving the trailing team another timeout. If it weren’t for that official timeout at 2:00, the top left cell would read 2:06 and teams would be able to safely start kneeling six seconds earlier than they do now.

The tactic of kneeling in football is a bit of a strange cultural fit. It’s odd to see teams that have tried so hard and so violently to beat each other, go through the motions of the final plays in the game. Allowing the offense to mimic being tackled in order to run the clock down isn’t a fair representation of a normal football play because it takes away the ability of the defense to create a fumble or interception and get the ball back immediately for their team. Nonetheless, it’s the way things are done today by rule and by custom. At least now I hope you understand what it is and how it works.

Thanks for the question,
Ezra Fischer