2015 NFL Divisional Preview Baltimore at New England

Hello sports fans and friends, family, husbands, wives, brothers, sisters, cousins and aunts of sports fans.

For many NFL football fans, this coming weekend is the best weekend of sports for the year. Like last weekend, there are four playoff games over two days. What makes it even better than last weekend is that the four teams with the best records in the league rested last weekend and now all host the winner of last weekend’s games. It’s the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs! To help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 10, 2015 — Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots, 4:35 p.m. ET on NBC.

  • New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady — why is Brady the antithesis of everything the New England Patriots stand for.
  • New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski — a dude in all senses of the word.
  • New England Patriots cornerback Darrelle Revis — and how he may have his hands full this weekend.
  • Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Haloti Ngata — why being suspended for the last four games of the season could have been the best thing for him and the Ravens.
  • Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh — how crazy is it that his recently fired little brother Jim is hanging out with him on the sidelines. What is he doing?
  • A plot synopsis of the game — Tom Brady is getting older, is this the last year for him to win a championship? Baltimore always seems to play well in New England in the playoffs, but is that a pattern or just a random series of events? Does it mean anything for this game?
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

How does kneeling work in football?

Dear Sports Fan,

How does kneeling work in football? This is one part of the game that I just don’t understand. Even in a close game, it seems like both teams decide that the game is over while there is still time on the clock. Why is that? And when does it happen?

Thanks,
Jack


Dear Jack,

Football is the ultimate effort sport. It’s a cliche that football players and coaches talk about “going 110%” and “leaving it all out on the field.” To which most people reply, “you can’t go harder than 100%, that’s nonsensical” and as for “leaving it all out on the field, we hope that doesn’t include your pants, underwear, or long-term health.” Nonetheless, it does seem like football players and coaches constantly give their full effort to winning the game. That makes it all the more disconcerting for viewers when the game ends with one or a series of plays where neither team seems to be trying at all. These plays are called kneel downs or quarterback kneels. The quarterback kneel is sort of like what happens in a chess game when one player sees that their opponent will be able to checkmate them in a few moves, no matter what they do. It’s a concession, but in this case the initiative is taken by the winning side instead of the losing side. When a team kneels, they’re saying that they are willing to sacrifice their attempt to advance the ball in order to safely run time off the clock. Here’s how it works.

Football is a game with a clock. In each quarter of the game, the clock starts at fifteen minutes (for this post, we’re assuming that you’re watching the NFL, but things are almost the same in college football) in each quarter and counts down to zero. When the clock hits zero in the fourth quarter, the game is over and whichever team has more points, wins. It’s also a game of alternating possessions. One team has the ball and keeps it as long as they can move the ball ten yards in four plays (if this concept is still blurry for you, read our post on down and distance). Although most plays last for only a few seconds to a dozen, the clock may count down between plays. Whether or not the clock runs is based on the outcome of the previous play. The rules that dictate this are somewhat Byzantine but to understand the kneel down, you only need to know that if a player who has the ball is tackled within the field, the clock runs between plays. When a player (usually the quarterback) kneels with the ball, they are performing a ritual equivalent of being tackled with the ball — instead of actually being tackled, according to NFL rules, they are allowed to simulate being tackled by voluntarily kneeling. When a quarterback kneels with the ball, that play is over and the ball is set up for the next play. Teams are allowed up to forty seconds between plays. So, a team that kneels the ball can expect that action to allow around 42 seconds to run off the clock. The reason why it’s 42 and not 40 is that the play itself might take around three seconds and a team will snap the ball with about one second left on the forty-second play clock.

Like so much of football, the simple concept of kneeling is complicated by a few technicalities. If you enjoy technicalities, you’ll love football! There’s a reason why so many NFL referees are lawyers! The first technicality is that the clock always stops on a change of possession. A change of possession, when the team that starts with the ball on one play does not start with the ball on the next is normally the result of an interception, a fumble, or a punt but it can also be the result of a fourth down play that isn’t a punt but doesn’t result in a first down. In other words, if a team kneels on fourth down, the game clock will immediately stop at the end of the play; it will not run once the play is done. That effectively limits kneeling to be a first, second, or third down tactic. The other technicality is that each team gets three timeouts per half. These timeouts can be used between any two plays and they result, not only in a commercial break, but also in the game clock stopping between plays. A time out can counteract the effect of kneeling. The last technicality is the two-minute warning. This is an arbitrary timeout that’s called (but not charged to either team) after the last play that starts before the game clock has hit 2:00 remaining in the second and fourth quarters. The two-minute warning would also stop the clock between plays, so kneeling before it is rare.

So, how do you know when a team is going to use the kneeling strategy? Usually, a team will only kneel if, by kneeling on successive plays, they can run the clock all the way to zero and therefore conclusively win the game. The exact time in a game when they can do this is modified by the number of timeouts the team without the ball has and the down for the team that has the ball and is leading the game. It’s a sliding scale best expressed as a table:

 

Kneel Chart NFL 2

Remember, a team can waste 42 seconds per kneel down but that is made up of three seconds to execute the kneel and another 39 that runs off between plays if the clock does not stop. Here’s a few examples of how I got to the numbers in the cells:

  • 1st down, one timeout remaining: 1st down — kneel for three seconds, defense takes a timeout; 2nd down — kneel for three seconds (6 total), defense has no timeouts remaining, so the clock runs an additional 39 seconds (45 total); 3rd down — kneel for three seconds (48 total), defense has no time remaining, so the clock runs an additional 39 seconds (87 or 1:27 total).
  • 2nd down, no timeouts remaining: 2nd down, kneel for three seconds, clock runs an additional 39 (42 total); third down — kneel for three seconds, clock runs an additional 39 (84 or 1:24 total).

You can see from this chart how the two-minute warning affects this strategy by effectively giving the trailing team another timeout. If it weren’t for that official timeout at 2:00, the top left cell would read 2:06 and teams would be able to safely start kneeling six seconds earlier than they do now.

The tactic of kneeling in football is a bit of a strange cultural fit. It’s odd to see teams that have tried so hard and so violently to beat each other, go through the motions of the final plays in the game. Allowing the offense to mimic being tackled in order to run the clock down isn’t a fair representation of a normal football play because it takes away the ability of the defense to create a fumble or interception and get the ball back immediately for their team. Nonetheless, it’s the way things are done today by rule and by custom. At least now I hope you understand what it is and how it works.

Thanks for the question,
Ezra Fischer

2015 NFL Wildcard One Liners

On Mondays during in the fall, the conversation is so dominated by NFL football that the expression “Monday morning quarterback” has entered the vernacular. The phrase is defined by Google as “a person who passes judgment on and criticizes something after the event.” With the popularity of fantasy football, we now have Monday morning quarterbacks talking about football from two different perspectives. We want you to be able to participate in this great tradition, so all fall we’ll be running NFL One Liners on Monday. Use these tiny synopses throughout the day:

Wildcard Weekend

Saturday, January 3, at 4:35 p.m. ET, on ESPN

Arizona Cardinals 16, at Carolina Panthers 27

The Cardinals could not overcome the loss of their best two quarterbacks during the season. The Panthers took advantage of Cardinals third string quarterback, Ryan Lindley, by interception two of his passes on their way to setting an NFL record for fewest yards allowed in a playoff game. It often seems like records like that are arbitrary but in this case, that’s basically all you need to know about the game: the Cardinals offense was completely impotent and no matter how valiantly they tried on defense, they could not overcome it.
Line: Hard to win when you can’t play offense.

Saturday, January 3, at 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC

Baltimore Ravens 30, at Pittsburgh Steelers 17

The story of the game according to most writers and commentators was how badly the Steelers missed their running back, Le’Veon Bell who missed the game with a knee injury. In my mind though, the most interesting part of the game was Pittsburgh’s last drive of the game. Down by two scores, the Steelers were desperately trying to score when quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and then a play or two later, Tight End Heath Miller were forced to leave the game with apparent head injuries. This seemed like the ultimate triumph of concussion awareness — to pull star players off the field in a pivotal drive of a playoff game would have been unthinkable in past years. But then, but then, after backup quarterback Bruce Gradkowski drove them down the field, Roethlisberger came back out and immediately threw an interception to lose the game. From what I know, you can’t actually test for a concussion in the amount of time he missed. So, how did he get back on the field? Did his team not take the concussion test seriously? If not, then why was he even missing for as long as he was? Also, when will teams learn that a healthy backup is better than a woozy, brain injured starter?
Line: The Steelers missed Bell all game but they might have had a chance at the end if they hadn’t stuck a potentially concussed quarterback back on the field.

Sunday, January 4, at 1:05 p.m. ET on CBS

Cincinnati Bengals 10, at Indianapolis Colts 26

Coming into this game, the narrative was all about a quarterback who can’t win big games (Andy Dalton of the Bengals) vs. a quarterback who loves playing in big games (Andrew Luck of the Colts.) Looks a lot like that narrative was confirmed by the outcome of this game although, of course, we know that football games are the product of somewhere around thirty people’s performances and not just one. The result was not unexpected but you would think it would force Cincinnati’s executives into making some difficult choices about their two most important employees, the coach and quarterback.
Line: It just seems like Cincinnati cannot win a playoff game. Did you know the last time they won a playoff game was 1990?

Sunday, January 4, at 4:40 p.m. ET on Fox

Detroit Lions 20, at Dallas Cowboys 24

The best game (and if we’re being honest about it, the only really good one) of the weekend was this one between the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys. The Lions jumped out to a lead and spent most of the game playing from ahead. The game was billed as a battle between the Cowboys great offense and the Lions excellent defense, especially between their offensive and defensive lines. For most of the game, the Lions defensive line was winning that battle and frequently putting Cowboy’s quarterback Tony Romo under pressure or on his back. Finally, in the second half, Romo found a way to distribute the ball before being killed and the Cowboys pulled ahead. In the end, it was the Lions offense pushing the ball down the field in a last-ditch attempt against the Dallas defense. They came up short and the Cowboys advanced.
Line: Both teams have a reputation for coming up short in mind-bogglingly frustrating ways. Yesterday it was the Lions’ turn.

2015 NFL Wildcard Preview Detroit at Dallas

Hey everyone and Happy New Year!

January isn’t just the best time to break your newly  made resolutions, it’s also a great time for following and watching football. The NFL playoffs begin this weekend and to help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 4, 2015 — Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys, 4:40 p.m. ET on Fox.

  • Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford, wide receiver Calvin Johnson, and defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh
  • Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo, running back DeMarco Murray, and wide receiver Dez Bryant
  • A plot synopsis of the game
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Wildcard Preview Cincinnati at Indianapolis

Hey everyone and Happy New Year!

January isn’t just the best time to break your newly  made resolutions, it’s also a great time for following and watching football. The NFL playoffs begin this weekend and to help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Sunday, January 4, 2015 — Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts, 1:05 p.m. ET on CBS.

  • Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton and wide receiver A.J. Green
  • Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and wide receivers Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton
  • A plot synopsis of the game
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Wildcard Preview Baltimore at Pittsburgh

Hey everyone and Happy New Year!

January isn’t just the best time to break your newly  made resolutions, it’s also a great time for following and watching football. The NFL playoffs begin this weekend and to help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 3, 2015 — Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and defensive players James Harrison and Troy Polamalu
  • Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Steve Smith, Sr., quarterback Joe Flacco, and linebacker Terrell Suggs
  • A plot synopsis of the game
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015 NFL Wildcard Preview Arizona at Carolina

Hey everyone and Happy New Year!

January isn’t just the best time to break your newly  made resolutions, it’s also a great time for following and watching football. The NFL playoffs begin this weekend and to help prepare for the games, I invited my old friend Brendan Gilfillan to join me in a series of podcasts. We’ll go through each NFL playoff game and talk through the most interesting characters, the basic plot of the game, who we want to win and who we think is going to win, and just for fun, we’ll share our favorite player names from each playoff team. I hope you enjoy it.

The NFL Wildcard Round

NFL Football — Saturday, January 3, 2015 — Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers, 4:35 p.m. ET on ESPN.

  • Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians, their shaky quarterback situation, and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald
  • Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton
  • A plot synopsis of the game
  • The players on both teams whose names we most envy and enjoy
  • Who we want to win and who we think is going to win
  • And much, much more!

For email subscribers, click here to get the audio.

 

You can subscribe to all Dear Sports Fan podcasts by following this link.

Music by Jesse Fischer.

2015: Sugar Bowl plot and characters

In 2015 Dear Sports Fan will be previewing the biggest sporting event of the year in each of the 50 states in the United States plus the district of Columbia. Follow along with us on our interactive 2015 map.

Louisiana — The Sugar Bowl

College Football — January 1, 2015 — Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ohio State Buckeyes, 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The Sugar Bowl is one of three college football bowl games that claims to be the second oldest in the country. It was first played in 1935 and has been played annually in New Orleans or nearby ever since. For its first forty years, it was played at Tulane University’s stadium and was named the Sugar Bowl in honor of Etienne de Bore, the first mayor of New Orleans and a trailblazer in the industrialization of sugar. Since 1975, the game has been played in the New Orleans Superdome, where the New Orleans Saints of the NFL play. This year, the bowl game begins a new chapter in its history when it becomes one of two bowl games to host a semifinal in the first edition of the college football playoffs. The winner of this game will advance to the finals to play the winner of the Rose Bowl for the National Championship. It’s a big game! Let’s dig into its plot and characters.

What’s the plot?

This game doesn’t have the epic good vs. evil implications of the Rose Bowl but it is interesting in its own right. The first place to start is with the conferences. Ohio State is part of the Big Ten and Alabama is a member of the SEC (Southeastern Conference). Both conferences have long and powerful histories but the Big Ten has been seen as waning in power over the past five to ten years while the SEC has waxed to ascendency. If you look at this as simply a high ranked Big Ten school versus a high ranked SEC school, you’d expect the SEC team to win convincingly. As evidence of this bias, all ten Big Ten teams (there are actually 14 Big Ten football teams) that made it to bowl games were underdogs according to Vegas. Of the 12 SEC schools in bowl games, nine were favored to win. So far, the SEC prediction has been mostly true — they are 4-1 — but the Big Ten has been surprisingly successful. They are 2-3 so far. Other than the conference conflict, there’s not much going on from a plot perspective that isn’t character driven. These are two extremely good teams with long histories of winning.

Who are the characters?

The Coaches: Urban Meyer and Nick Saban — The two most compelling, albeit creepy, characters in this game are the two head coaches: Urban Meyer of Ohio State and Nick Saban of Alabama. In many ways, they are mirror images. They’ve both coached at several different colleges before their current one and won National Championhsips — Meyer at Florida and Saban at LSU. They’re both straight-laced and obsessive coaches. A quick Google search pops up articles with headlines like, “Why Alabama’s Nick Saban is Against Texting” and “The Joyless Triumph of Nick Saban” as well as “For Nick Saban and Urban Meyer, no room for satisfaction before college football playoff“. If you ask me, they are prime examples of the type of megalomaniacal, self-aggrandizing, obsessive-compulsive snakes that seem to be attracted to powerful jobs like football coach and President of the United States. Luckily I think we do a better job filtering the worst of them out in politics than in football.

T.J. Yeldon — Yeldon is a running back for the Alabama Crimson Tide and the team’s most dynamic playmaker. In years past, he’d probably be projected as a first round draft pick in this year’s NFL draft, but teams seem to have figured out that because running backs have such short careers and are more interchangeable than other positions in the NFL, it’s not worth drafting them early in the draft. Yeldon will still probably go in the second round. The drama that he brings to this game is in the form of a series of questions: how much, how well, and how will he play? He’s been suffering from an injured ankle and hamstring and the latest news from the Alabama camp is that he will only be used sporadically throughout the game because he’s missed so much practice time. It’s possible that’s true, I’m sure the Alabama staff is thinking about the National Championship game and wanting to protect their best weapon for that game, but it could also be complete bunk — an attempt to deceive Ohio State into not preparing for a full dose of Yeldon.

Cardale Jones — Quarterback is by far the most important single position in football. Great quarterbacks are extremely rare and even functional ones are difficult to find. Teams that lose their starting quarterback to a long term injury very rarely have an acceptable backup who can maintain the level of play at a high enough level for the team to succeed. Teams that lose their first and second string quarterback are almost always dead in the water. We’re seeing that now in the NFL with the Arizona Cardinals whose play has declined dramatically as they descended from Carson Palmer to Drew Stanton to Ryan Lindley. Ohio State has been through the exact same series of injuries this year but each time they lose a quarterback, a new one steps in and the team doesn’t miss a beat. Cardale Jones is the third quarterback up for Ohio State and in his first game as a starter, he led the Ohio State team to a 59-0 win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. Now he’s had a couple weeks to rest, practice, and learn, which is good, but he’s also had a couple weeks to be bombarded by well-intentioned but ultimately questionable adulation and pressure from friends, family, and fans. Jones has an almost stereotypically hard-luck back-story and I certainly hope that he beats the odds to play well in this game.

Who’s going to win?

Alabama is favored by nine points and I’ve got to agree with that assessment. Everything points towards Alabama winning this game. The biggest mystery is whether Cardale Jones collapses in his second start or if he plays well, but even if he plays well, I don’t see it being enough to help Ohio State win.

Week 17 NFL One Liners

On Mondays during in the fall, the conversation is so dominated by NFL football that the expression “Monday morning quarterback” has entered the vernacular. The phrase is defined by Google as “a person who passes judgment on and criticizes something after the event.” With the popularity of fantasy football, we now have Monday morning quarterbacks talking about football from two different perspectives. We want you to be able to participate in this great tradition, so all fall we’ll be running NFL One Liners on Monday. Use these tiny synopses throughout the day:

Week 17

Sunday, December 28, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Buffalo Bills 17, at New England Patriots 9 

Winning football games is hard and tiring and bruising. The Patriots had no need to win this game because no combination of results this weekend could have kept them from being the top team in the AFC and guaranteed to host all of the games they play in the playoffs until the Super Bowl.
Line: The Patriots didn’t need it, so they didn’t win it.

Cleveland Browns 10, at Baltimore Ravens 20

The Ravens needed to win this game and have a couple other things happen in the early games to make the playoffs. While they were winning the game, the other couple things happened. They’re in!
Line: The Ravens needed some help to get into the playoffs but what they could control (beating the Browns,) they did control.

Chicago Bears 9, at Minnesota Vikings 13

What a lost season from the Chicago Bears. They were expected to make the playoffs and instead, they only won five games. The Vikings can feel moderately good about themselves. They won seven games this year while mostly playing a rookie quarterback.
Line: There’s be hope today in Minnesota but the same can’t be said for Chicago.

Dallas Cowboys 44, at Washington Redskins 17

The Cowboys wanted to win this game in order to better their playoff seed. Still, you get the feeling that even if they hadn’t wanted to win, they might have won anyway. That’s how deeply depressing this season was for Washington.
Line: Hey, if you’re feeling sad about the end of the NFL regular season, just think — at least it means no more watching the Redskins!

Jacksonville Jaguars 17, at Houston Texans 23

The Texans are this year’s hard-luck team. They’re going to just miss out on the playoffs, but you have to wonder what would have been if they hadn’t been forced to go down to their third quarterback… when their first two weren’t that good to start out with!
Line: I feel bad for the Texans — I wish they could have snuck into the playoffs.

Indianapolis Colts 27, at Tennessee Titans 10

The Colts didn’t really have any reason to win this game, but after losing so badly last week, this must have felt somewhat cathartic. The Titans wanted to lose to try to get the first pick in next year’s draft, but unfortunately for them, Tampa Bay lost also to clinch that first pick for themselves.
Line: Meaningless victory for the Colts.

San Diego Chargers 7, at Kansas City Chiefs 19

By beating the San Diego Chargers, the Kansas City Chiefs knocked them out of the playoffs. Too bad for the Chiefs that the Ravens were simultaneously knocking them out of the playoffs.
Line: Talk about bitter-sweet victories. No one watching this game ended up happy.

New York Jets 37, at Miami Dolphins 24

Playing the day after reports surfaced that Jets head coach Rex Ryan had already cleaned his office out in the expectation of being fired, the Jets finally looked good on offense.
Line: Ha! Maybe Rex Ryan was so busy cleaning out his office that he didn’t have time to ruin the offensive game plan.

New Orleans Saints 23, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20

The Saints counter-intuitively helped a division rival by beating the Buccaneers today and therefore ensuring that they will pick first in next year’s NFL draft. The draft is no sure thing, but the Buccaneers fans are happier today than the Saints fans.
Line: It’s a hard call — do you try to lose to keep a rival from getting the first pick?

Philadelphia Eagles 34, at New York Giants 26

The season ends for these teams the way it’s been all along. The Eagles are marginally better than the Giants, but neither are good enough to compete with the best in the NFL.
Line: The tri-state area gets shut out from the playoffs.

SUNDAY, December 28, AT 4:05 and 4:25 P.M. ET

Carolina Panthers 34, at Atlanta Falcons 3

Well, that wasn’t close. The Panthers beat the Falcons to win the NFC South and clinch a playoff spot. Despite having a losing record, the Panthers look like a dangerous team. They’ve won their last four games and because they are a division winner, they’ll get to host their first playoff game.
Line: Wouldn’t it just be so typical of the NFL if the Panthers made a run in this year’s playoffs?

Oakland Raiders 14, at Denver Broncos 47

The Broncos left nothing up to chance when it came to making sure they got a bye week.
Line: Peyton Manning wanted to rest up. Or maybe just film some more commercials!

Detroit Lions 20, at Green Bay Packers 30

Aaron Rodgers gave the Packers fans a scare when he went down (while throwing a touch down, mind you,) grabbing his calf. He’ll have an extra week to rest and recuperate thanks to this victory over the Lions which clinched a first round bye in the playoffs.
Line: Aaron Rodgers is remarkable.

Arizona Cardinals 17,  at San Francisco 49ers 20

The Cardinals are struggling mightily and valiantly to win games with their third quarterback starting. It’s not working.
Line: I know they’ll probably lose, but I can’t help but root for the Cardinals in the playoffs.

St. Louis Rams 6, at Seattle Seahawks 20

The Seahawks clinched the number one seed in their conference, and (like the Patriots in theirs) home field throughout the playoffs.
Line: The poor Rams — so decent and so trapped in a division with way better than decent teams.

SUNDAY, December 21, AT 8:30 P.M. ET

Cincinnati Bengals 17, at Pittsburgh Steelers 27

By winning this game, the Steelers won their division and will now host the Baltimore Ravens in the first round of the playoffs. By losing, the Bengals need to travel to Indianapolis in the first round. It’s not clear to me that there’s that much of a competitive advantage to hosting Baltimore over traveling to Indianapolis. It’s certainly not worth losing your best offensive player for, which is exactly what happened to both teams. Steelers running back, Le’veon Bell left the game with a knee injury and Bengals wide receiver, A.J. Green, left with a possible concussion.
Line: In this case, I don’t think the playoff seeding was worth the collateral damage.

NFL Week 17 Good Cop, Bad Cop Precaps

The NFL season has started but how do you know which games to watch and which to skip? Ask our favorite police duo with their good cop, bad cop precaps of all the matchups in the National Football League this weekend. To see which games will be televised in your area, check out 506sports.com’s essential NFL maps.

Week 17

Sunday, December 28, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Good cop: The Bills can almost make up for their terrible loss last week that kicked them out of playoff contention by finishing the season with a win in New England!

Bad cop: The Patriots have already clinched home-field advantage throughout the entire playoffs. They don’t need to win this game at all. Knowing Bill Bellichick, they might just spend the game practicing some very avante-garde offensive strategy, just in case.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Good cop: The Ravens will make the playoffs if they win this game and San Diego loses to Kansas City!

Bad cop: The Browns will make the playoffs when California falls into the ocean.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Good cop: Of all the meaningless (to playoff qualification or seeding) Week 17 games, this could be the best! It’s two rival teams that are going in opposite directions! 

Bad cop: Yes… Minnesota is struggling to climb out of the dumpster while Chicago is hanging out in the landfill… 

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins

Good cop: Washington eliminated one divisional rival, the Philadelphia Eagles, last week! This week they have a chance to keep a first round playoff bye away from another divisional rival, the Dallas Cowboys, if they can win this game!

Bad cop: If there’s anything Washington D.C. is good at, it’s ruining the hopes of people throughout the country. Ha.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

Good cop: The Texans are the longest of long shots to make the playoffs — they have to win and they need the Ravens and Chargers to lose! But they also have the easiest opponent this week! The Jaguars are not good and that’s good for the Houston Texans!

Bad cop: I love how you just managed to say a team was bad, something you’re normally loath to admit, but you still found a way to make that a good thing. The Jaguars are bad and the Texans are not really that much better. They don’t deserve a playoff spot and they won’t get one.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Good cop: I’m fascinated by this game! Who better for the struggling, yet playoff bound Colts to play than the 2-13 Titans?

Bad cop: Beating a team whose incentives are all lined up for losing won’t prove anything positive about the Colts.

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

Good cop: This is virtually a playoff game! Both teams need to win this game to make the playoffs! The Chargers could get in even if they lose, but if the Chiefs lose, they are out!

Bad cop: Too bad that Chiefs starting quarterback, Alex Smith, is out with a lacerated spleen. It takes a little of the drama away from this game.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

Good cop: The Jets have been an entertaining mess for years under head-coach Rex Ryan! This might be the last game of an era!

Bad cop: An era defined by dysfunction and mediocrity? Oh, I can’t wait to watch one last game in THAT era. 

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Good cop: These two teams have had disappointing seasons but they’ll look to close the year out with a win!

Bad cop: Your lack of cynicism drives me crazy. You think the Buccaneers don’t know they might get the first pick of next year’s draft if they lose? They know. 

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Good cop: Grudge match!

Bad cop: Consolation match.

SUNDAY, December 28, AT 4:05 and 4:25 P.M. ET

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Good cop: This game is for all the marbles in the NFC South! Win and you make the playoffs! Lose and you go home!

Bad cop: Dramatic and ultimately futile. Winning a division and making the playoffs with a losing record is a damn shame.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos

Good cop: This may seem like a meaningless game, but it’s not! The Broncos can clinch a bye week with a win and there’s no player who would appreciate a week off more than 38 year-old Peyton Manning!

Bad cop: And no team easier to beat than the Oakland Raiders.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

Good cop: Both teams have clinched a playoff spot but now they play each other for the NFC North division title and playoff positioning!

Bad cop: It’s hard, even for me, to find something bad to say about this game. It’ll probably stink.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

Good cop: Down to their third quarterback, the Cardinals are the most compelling playoff team! I can’t wait to see if they can overcome their quarterback play to make a deep run this year!

Bad cop: I can save you the suspense. They won’t.

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks

Good cop: It’s such a shame that the Rams are stuck in a division with the Seahawks, Cardinals, and (not this year but for the last few years) the 49ers! Otherwise, they’d probably be a playoff team! They’re not bad!

Bad cop: “They’re not bad.” Heck of a rallying cry.

SUNDAY, December 21, AT 8:30 P.M. ET

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Good cop: The AFC North division, with the Bengals, Steelers, Ravens, and Browns, has been the best division from 1-4 all season! This game will finally decide who the winner is!

Bad cop: Yeah, yeah. It doesn’t really matter though. Both teams are in the playoffs for sure and neither one are likely to get a first round bye.